Livewire Group Stock Analysis

LVWR Stock  USD 2.02  0.03  1.51%   
LiveWire Group is overvalued with Real Value of 2.07 and Target Price of 9.0. The main objective of LiveWire stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what LiveWire Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of LiveWire's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The LiveWire stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. LiveWire is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. LiveWire Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
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LiveWire Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of LiveWire was now reported as 0.68. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.52. LiveWire Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 27th of September 2022. LiveWire Group, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of electric motorcycles in North America, EuropeMiddle EastAfrica, and Asia Pacific regions. LiveWire Group, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Livewire is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about LiveWire Group contact Jochen Zeitz at 650 447 8424 or learn more at https://www.livewire.com.

LiveWire Quarterly Total Revenue

10.76 Million

LiveWire Group Investment Alerts

LiveWire Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LiveWire Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.92 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (12.62 M).
LiveWire Group currently holds about 5.37 M in cash with (93.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why LiveWire Group Is Plunging in 2025

LiveWire Group Upcoming and Recent Events

8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

LiveWire Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact LiveWire's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.14-0.120.0214 
2024-02-08
2023-12-31-0.14-0.16-0.0214 
2024-07-25
2024-06-30-0.15-0.120.0320 
View All Earnings Estimates

LiveWire Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

LiveWire's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates LiveWire's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of LiveWire's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect LiveWire's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

LiveWire Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Barclays Plc2024-12-31
28.8 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
21.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
20.6 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
18.5 K
Wexford Capital Lp2024-12-31
18 K
Citigroup Inc2024-12-31
14.6 K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-12-31
14.5 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
10.4 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-12-31
9.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
884.1 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
215 K
Note, although LiveWire's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

LiveWire Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 623.98 M.

LiveWire Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.68)(0.71)
Return On Capital Employed(0.93)(0.98)
Return On Assets(0.63)(0.67)
Return On Equity(0.82)(0.86)

Management Efficiency

LiveWire Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2987) % which means that it has lost $0.2987 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5542) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. LiveWire's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well LiveWire manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 03/21/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.71. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.98. At this time, LiveWire's Total Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/21/2025, Net Tangible Assets is likely to grow to about 370.5 M, while Other Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.57  0.57 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.52  0.50 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(10.90)(11.44)
Price Book Value Ratio 8.49  8.07 
Enterprise Value Multiple(10.90)(11.44)
Price Fair Value 8.49  8.07 
Enterprise Value822.4 M594.4 M
Effective management at LiveWire has been a driving force behind its market achievements. We assess the correlation between management practices and financial success to determine the stock's value.
Operating Margin
(5.40)
Beta
0.957
Return On Assets
(0.30)
Return On Equity
(0.55)

Technical Drivers

As of the 21st of March, LiveWire secures the Mean Deviation of 3.45, standard deviation of 4.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.26). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of LiveWire Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify LiveWire Group market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if LiveWire Group is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 2.02 per share. Please also check out LiveWire jensen alpha, which is currently at (1.44) to check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

LiveWire Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. LiveWire middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for LiveWire Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

LiveWire Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific LiveWire insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on LiveWire's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases LiveWire insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

LiveWire Outstanding Bonds

LiveWire issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. LiveWire Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most LiveWire bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when LiveWire Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

LiveWire Predictive Daily Indicators

LiveWire intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of LiveWire stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

LiveWire Corporate Filings

21st of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
25th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
21st of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
18th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
5th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
26th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
13th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

LiveWire Forecast Models

LiveWire's time-series forecasting models are one of many LiveWire's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary LiveWire's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About LiveWire Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how LiveWire prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling LiveWire shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as LiveWire. By using and applying LiveWire Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying LiveWire entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(3.53)(3.70)
Operating Profit Margin(4.14)(4.35)
Net Loss(3.53)(3.70)
Gross Profit Margin(0.48)(0.50)

Current LiveWire Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. LiveWire analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. LiveWire analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.0Hold1Odds
LiveWire Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most LiveWire analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LiveWire stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of LiveWire Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LiveWire conference calls.
LiveWire Analyst Advice Details

LiveWire Stock Analysis Indicators

LiveWire Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how LiveWire stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading LiveWire shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying LiveWire stock analysis, traders can identify LiveWire position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow167.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding203.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity115.1 M
Tax Provision43 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net34.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments64.4 M
Cash64.4 M
Accounts Payable1.7 M
Net Debt-63.6 M
50 Day M A4.9432
Total Current Liabilities29.9 M
Other Operating Expenses137 M
Non Current Assets Total49.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other5.4 M
Stock Based Compensation4.6 M

Additional Tools for LiveWire Stock Analysis

When running LiveWire's price analysis, check to measure LiveWire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LiveWire is operating at the current time. Most of LiveWire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LiveWire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LiveWire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LiveWire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.