Geron Stock Analysis

GERN Stock  USD 1.73  0.01  0.57%   
Geron is undervalued with Real Value of 3.2 and Target Price of 7.61. The main objective of Geron stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Geron is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Geron's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Geron stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Geron is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Geron Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.

Geron Stock Analysis Notes

About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Geron was currently reported as 0.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Geron had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1058:1000 split on the 22nd of July 2014. Geron Corporation, a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for myeloid hematologic malignancies. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California. Geron Corp operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 69 people. To learn more about Geron call the company at 650 473 7700 or check out https://www.geron.com.

Geron Investment Alerts

Geron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Geron has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Geron may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (174.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28 M).
Geron currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (218.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58.
Geron has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Geron Corporation Shareholder Notice Robbins LLP Reminds Investors of the Pending GERN Class Action Lawsuit

Geron Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Geron to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
21st of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
9th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Geron Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Geron's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-02
2024-03-31-0.1-0.090.0110 
2024-02-28
2023-12-31-0.1-0.090.0110 
2023-08-03
2023-06-30-0.08-0.09-0.0112 
View All Earnings Estimates

Geron Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Geron stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Cancer Fighters Idea
Cancer Fighters
Public companies from health care and pharmaceutical sectors that are focused on fighting cancer

Geron Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
13.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
11.7 M
Woodline Partners Lp2024-12-31
11.6 M
Vestal Point Capital Lp2024-12-31
11 M
Darwin Global Management, Ltd.2024-12-31
9.6 M
Segall Bryant & Hamill2024-12-31
7.4 M
Eventide Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
7.1 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
M
Braidwell Lp2024-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
49.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
33.5 M
Note, although Geron's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Geron Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.11 B.

Geron Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.27) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.42) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.42.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.29)(0.31)
Return On Capital Employed(0.34)(0.36)
Return On Assets(0.29)(0.31)
Return On Equity(0.62)(0.65)

Management Efficiency

Geron has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2198) % which means that it has lost $0.2198 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.6609) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Geron's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Geron manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 19th of March 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.31. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.36. At this time, Geron's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of March 2025, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.14, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop about 4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.43  0.41 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.43  0.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(14.28)(13.57)
Price Book Value Ratio 8.16  8.57 
Enterprise Value Multiple(14.28)(13.57)
Price Fair Value 8.16  8.57 
Enterprise Value2.2 B2.3 B
The strategic initiatives led by Geron's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.42)
Profit Margin
(2.27)
Beta
0.532
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.66)

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of March, Geron retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.46), standard deviation of 5.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18). Geron technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Geron Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Geron middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Geron. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Geron Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Geron insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Geron's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Geron insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Geron Outstanding Bonds

Geron issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Geron uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Geron bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Geron has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Geron Predictive Daily Indicators

Geron intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Geron stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Geron Forecast Models

Geron's time-series forecasting models are one of many Geron's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Geron's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Geron Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Geron prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Geron shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Geron. By using and applying Geron Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Geron entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(2.27)(2.38)
Operating Profit Margin(2.26)(2.37)
Net Loss(2.27)(2.38)
Gross Profit Margin 0.98  1.03 

Current Geron Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Geron analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Geron analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
7.61Strong Buy9Odds
Geron current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Geron analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Geron stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Geron, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Geron conference calls.
Geron Analyst Advice Details

Geron Stock Analysis Indicators

Geron stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Geron stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Geron shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Geron stock analysis, traders can identify Geron position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow71.1 M
Long Term Debt118.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding646 M
Total Stockholder Equity280.3 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments406.6 M
Cash79 M
Accounts Payable8.6 M
Net Debt-75.8 M
50 Day M A2.5814
Total Current Liabilities88.3 M
Other Operating Expenses250.7 M
Non Current Assets Total4.2 M
Non Currrent Assets Other4.1 M
Stock Based Compensation135 K
When determining whether Geron offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geron's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geron Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geron Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.27)
Revenue Per Share
0.119
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.1 K
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.66)
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.