Certara Stock Analysis

CERT Stock  USD 12.38  0.17  1.35%   
Certara is fairly valued with Real Value of 12.64 and Target Price of 14.28. The main objective of Certara stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Certara is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Certara's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Certara stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Certara is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Certara Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Certara. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For more information on how to buy Certara Stock please use our How to Invest in Certara guide.

Certara Stock Analysis Notes

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Certara has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.2. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Certara, Inc. provides software products and technology-enabled services to customers for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey. Certara operates under Health Information Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1054 people. For more info on Certara please contact William Feehery at 609 716 7900 or go to https://www.certara.com.

Certara Quarterly Total Revenue

94.82 Million

Certara Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 354.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 222.48 M.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Certara Q4 2024 Earnings Preview

Certara Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Certara Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Certara's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.060.070.0116 
2024-11-06
2024-09-300.110.130.0218 
2024-02-29
2023-12-310.110.09-0.0218 
View All Earnings Estimates

Certara Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Certara's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Certara's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Certara's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Certara's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Certara Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.9 M
Mackenzie Investments2024-12-31
1.7 M
Daventry Group, Lp2024-12-31
1.6 M
Glenmede Trust Co Na2024-12-31
1.5 M
London Company Of Virginia2024-12-31
1.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
13.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
12.4 M
Note, although Certara's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Certara Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.99 B.

Certara Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.08) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.07 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.15)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.05)

Management Efficiency

Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.15 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to -0.03 in 2025. Non Current Liabilities Other is likely to gain to about 47.3 M in 2025, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 103.6 M in 2025. Certara's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Certara manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 5.93  4.35 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(0.89)(0.93)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 138.10  144.50 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.07  2.92 
Enterprise Value Multiple 138.10  144.50 
Price Fair Value 3.07  2.92 
Enterprise Value3.3 B4.9 B
The strategic initiatives led by Certara's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.0674
Profit Margin
(0.08)
Beta
1.575
Return On Assets
0.0059
Return On Equity
(0.03)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of February, Certara shows the Mean Deviation of 2.28, downside deviation of 2.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.097. Certara technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Certara Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Certara middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Certara. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Certara Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Certara insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Certara's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Certara insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Certara Outstanding Bonds

Certara issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Certara uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Certara bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Certara has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Certara Predictive Daily Indicators

Certara intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Certara stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Certara Corporate Filings

13th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
15th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10K
16th of December 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 10-K
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
18th of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
16th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
8th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Certara Forecast Models

Certara's time-series forecasting models are one of many Certara's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Certara's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Certara Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Certara prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Certara shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Certara. By using and applying Certara Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Certara entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.14)(0.15)
Operating Profit Margin(0.12)(0.13)
Net Loss(0.14)(0.15)
Gross Profit Margin 0.54  0.48 

Current Certara Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Certara analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Certara analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
14.28Buy11Odds
Certara current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Certara analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Certara stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Certara, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Certara conference calls.
Certara Analyst Advice Details

Certara Stock Analysis Indicators

Certara stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Certara stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Certara shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Certara stock analysis, traders can identify Certara position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow239.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.9 M
Total Stockholder EquityB
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.141
Property Plant And Equipment Net12.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments235 M
Cash235 M
Accounts Payable5.2 M
Net Debt67.6 M
50 Day M A12.3308
Total Current Liabilities130 M
Other Operating Expenses395.1 M
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings24.57
Non Currrent Assets Other1.9 M
Stock Based Compensation28.3 M

Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis

When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.