Blue Bird Corp Stock Analysis

BLBD Stock  USD 41.77  3.12  8.07%   
Blue Bird Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 34.77 and Target Price of 59.64. The main objective of Blue Bird stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Blue Bird Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Blue Bird's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Blue Bird stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Blue Bird's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Blue Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Blue Bird Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the October 4, 2010. Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia. Blue Bird operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1702 people. For more info on Blue Bird Corp please contact Philip Horlock at 478 822 2801 or go to https://www.blue-bird.com.

Blue Bird Quarterly Total Revenue

350.21 Million

Blue Bird Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Blue Bird's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Blue Bird Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Heres Why Investors Should Retain Goodyear Stock Right Now

Blue Bird Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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9th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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9th of December 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Blue Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Blue Bird's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-12
2021-03-310.080.05-0.0337 
2022-08-10
2022-06-30-0.05-0.09-0.0480 
2017-02-09
2016-12-31-0.09-0.13-0.0444 
View All Earnings Estimates

Blue Bird Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Blue Bird's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Blue Bird's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Blue Bird's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Blue Bird's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Blue Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
606.3 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
498.8 K
Neumeier Investment Counsel Llc2024-09-30
485.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
482.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
470 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-09-30
381.2 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
362.4 K
Blair William & Co2024-09-30
358.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
350.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
2.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.4 M
Note, although Blue Bird's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Blue Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.35 B.

Blue Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.08 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.12 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.12.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed(155.24)(147.48)
Return On Assets(11.08)(10.53)
Return On Equity(154.28)(146.57)

Management Efficiency

Blue Bird Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.2078 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.2078 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 1.3471 %, meaning that it created $1.3471 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Blue Bird's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Blue Bird manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Return On Capital Employed is projected to grow to (147.48). At present, Blue Bird's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Assets is expected to grow to about 390.5 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 179 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.01  0.01 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(23.82)(22.63)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.95)(5.65)
Price Book Value Ratio1.3 K1.4 K
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.95)(5.65)
Price Fair Value1.3 K1.4 K
Enterprise Value739.9 M470.6 M
Blue Bird's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Operating Margin
0.1194
Profit Margin
0.0766
Beta
1.619
Return On Assets
0.2078
Return On Equity
1.3471

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of January, Blue Bird shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), mean deviation of 2.16, and Standard Deviation of 2.87. Blue Bird Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Blue Bird Corp coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the variance and value at risk to decide if Blue Bird Corp is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 41.77 per share. Given that Blue Bird has information ratio of (0.05), we suggest you to validate Blue Bird Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Blue Bird Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Blue Bird middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Blue Bird Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Blue Bird Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Blue Bird insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Blue Bird's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Blue Bird insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Blue Bird Outstanding Bonds

Blue Bird issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Blue Bird Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Blue bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Blue Bird Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Blue Bird Predictive Daily Indicators

Blue Bird intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Blue Bird stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Blue Bird Corporate Filings

ASR
23rd of December 2024
Automatic Shelf Registration Statement under Rule 415 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
F4
18th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
13th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
6th of December 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
5th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
25th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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15th of November 2024
Other Reports
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Blue Bird Forecast Models

Blue Bird's time-series forecasting models are one of many Blue Bird's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Blue Bird's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Blue Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Blue Bird prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Blue shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Blue Bird. By using and applying Blue Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Blue entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit Margin 0.13  0.10 

Current Blue Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Blue analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Blue analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
59.64Strong Buy7Odds
Blue Bird Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Blue analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Blue stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Blue Bird Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Blue conference calls.
Blue Analyst Advice Details

Blue Stock Analysis Indicators

Blue Bird Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Blue Bird stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Blue Bird shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Blue Bird stock analysis, traders can identify Blue Bird position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow79 M
Long Term Debt90 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity159.6 M
Tax Provision33.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.931
Property Plant And Equipment Net97.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments127.7 M
Cash127.7 M
Accounts Payable143.2 M
Net Debt-31.7 M
50 Day M A40.9583
Total Current Liabilities236 M
Other Operating Expenses1.2 B
Non Current Assets Total201.5 M
Forward Price Earnings12.1065
Non Currrent Assets OtherM
Stock Based Compensation8.6 M

Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis

When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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