Avalo Therapeutics Stock Analysis

AVTX Stock  USD 7.49  0.17  2.22%   
Avalo Therapeutics is overvalued with Real Value of 6.45 and Target Price of 37.5. The main objective of Avalo Therapeutics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Avalo Therapeutics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Avalo Therapeutics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Avalo Therapeutics stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Avalo Therapeutics is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Avalo Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
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Avalo Stock Analysis Notes

About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avalo Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 20.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:240 split on the 29th of December 2023. Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage precision medicine company, discovers, develops, and commercializes targeted therapeutics for patients with unmet clinical need in immunology, immuno-oncology, and rare genetic diseases. Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland. Cerecor operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 42 people. For more info on Avalo Therapeutics please contact the company at 410 522 8707 or go to https://www.avalotx.com.

Avalo Therapeutics Investment Alerts

Avalo Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avalo Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Avalo Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Avalo Therapeutics currently holds 17.7 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.62, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Avalo Therapeutics has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Avalo Therapeutics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 441 K. Net Loss for the year was (35.13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.34 M).
Avalo Therapeutics currently holds about 11.25 M in cash with (49.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2.
Roughly 73.0% of Avalo Therapeutics shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Avalo Therapeutics GAAP EPS of -20.91, revenue of 0.44M

Avalo Therapeutics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Avalo Therapeutics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
3rd of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
3rd of April 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Avalo Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Avalo Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-08-14
2017-06-30-0.22-0.140.0836 
2018-08-09
2018-06-30-0.1-0.19-0.0990 
2023-05-04
2023-03-31-0.97-0.850.1212 
View All Earnings Estimates

Avalo Therapeutics Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Avalo Therapeutics' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Avalo Therapeutics' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Avalo Therapeutics' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Avalo Therapeutics' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Avalo Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
117.4 K
Velan Capital Investment Management Lp2024-12-31
110 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
104.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
98.5 K
Allostery Investments Lp2024-12-31
73.3 K
Sio Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
71.5 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-12-31
60 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2024-12-31
60 K
Hrt Financial Llc2024-12-31
40 K
Bvf Inc2024-12-31
M
Ikarian Capital, Llc2024-12-31
970.3 K
Note, although Avalo Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Avalo Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 80.43 M.

Avalo Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.25)(0.26)
Return On Capital Employed(0.48)(0.50)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Equity(0.26)(0.28)

Management Efficiency

Avalo Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.3064) % which means that it has lost $0.3064 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4252) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Avalo Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Avalo Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.26 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.5 in 2025. At this time, Avalo Therapeutics' Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 16.3 M in 2025, despite the fact that Net Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (21.7 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 16.37  15.55 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.07  14.32 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 1.07  1.13 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.45  0.43 
Enterprise Value Multiple 1.07  1.13 
Price Fair Value 0.45  0.43 
Enterprise Value-73.6 M-69.9 M
Understanding the operational decisions made by Avalo Therapeutics management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
(51.65)
Beta
0.864
Return On Assets
(0.31)
Return On Equity
(0.43)

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of March, Avalo Therapeutics shows the mean deviation of 4.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01). Avalo Therapeutics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Avalo Therapeutics Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was four with a total number of output elements of fifty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Avalo Therapeutics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Avalo Therapeutics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Avalo Therapeutics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Avalo Therapeutics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Avalo Therapeutics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Avalo Therapeutics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Caissa Capital Management Ltd. over a week ago
Acquisition by Caissa Capital Management Ltd. of 5000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 2.6216 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Doyle Mittie over a month ago
Acquisition by Doyle Mittie of 155000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 8.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Chan Mitchell over a month ago
Acquisition by Chan Mitchell of 40000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jennifer Riley over two months ago
Acquisition by Jennifer Riley of 150000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 7.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jennifer Riley over two months ago
Insider Trading
 
Doyle Mittie over three months ago
Acquisition by Doyle Mittie of 234000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 12.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Neil Garry Arthur over three months ago
Acquisition by Neil Garry Arthur of 4000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 3.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Almenoff June Sherie over three months ago
Acquisition by Almenoff June Sherie of 500 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 13.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Truex Samantha over three months ago
Acquisition by Truex Samantha of 24600 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 9.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Caissa Capital Management Ltd. over six months ago
Acquisition by Caissa Capital Management Ltd. of 25000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 2.8432 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Neil Garry Arthur over six months ago
Acquisition by Neil Garry Arthur of 100000 shares of Avalo Therapeutics at 2.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Neil Garry Arthur over six months ago
Acquisition by Neil Garry Arthur of 194600 shares of Avalo Therapeutics subject to Rule 16b-3

Avalo Therapeutics Outstanding Bonds

Avalo Therapeutics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Avalo Therapeutics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Avalo bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Avalo Therapeutics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Avalo Therapeutics Predictive Daily Indicators

Avalo Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Avalo Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Avalo Therapeutics Corporate Filings

8K
20th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
30th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
13th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
3rd of January 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
2nd of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
31st of December 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
5th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Avalo Therapeutics Forecast Models

Avalo Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Avalo Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Avalo Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Avalo Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Avalo Therapeutics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Avalo shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Avalo Therapeutics. By using and applying Avalo Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Avalo entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(79.40)(75.43)
Operating Profit Margin(155.36)(147.59)
Net Loss(79.66)(75.67)
Gross Profit Margin(60.85)(57.81)

Current Avalo Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Avalo analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Avalo analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
37.5Strong Buy3Odds
Avalo Therapeutics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Avalo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Avalo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Avalo Therapeutics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Avalo conference calls.
Avalo Analyst Advice Details

Avalo Stock Analysis Indicators

Avalo Therapeutics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Avalo Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Avalo Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Avalo Therapeutics stock analysis, traders can identify Avalo Therapeutics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow7.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity133 M
Tax Provision114 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments134.5 M
Cash134.5 M
Accounts Payable283 K
Net Debt-134.5 M
50 Day M A7.4508
Total Current LiabilitiesM
Other Operating Expenses69 M
Non Current Assets Total11.8 M
Non Currrent Assets Other131 K
Stock Based Compensation5.9 M

Additional Tools for Avalo Stock Analysis

When running Avalo Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Avalo Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avalo Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Avalo Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avalo Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avalo Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avalo Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.