Aurora Innovation Stock Analysis

AUR Stock  USD 7.23  0.09  1.26%   
Aurora Innovation is overvalued with Real Value of 6.78 and Target Price of 5.85. The main objective of Aurora Innovation stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Aurora Innovation is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Aurora Innovation's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Aurora Innovation stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Aurora Innovation is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Aurora Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aurora Innovation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
To learn how to invest in Aurora Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aurora Innovation guide.

Aurora Stock Analysis Notes

About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.46. Aurora Innovation had not issued any dividends in recent years. Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Aurora Innovation operates under Information Technology Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1600 people. For more info on Aurora Innovation please contact the company at 888 583 9506 or go to https://aurora.tech.

Aurora Innovation Investment Alerts

Aurora Innovation had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reported Net Loss for the year was (748 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (676 M).
Aurora Innovation has about 1.38 B in cash with (611 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2.
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tesla, Rivian, Aurora Highlight Tech Autonomous Opportunities, Analyst Sees Attractive Profit Opportunity

Aurora Innovation Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Aurora Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aurora Innovation's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-10-31
2024-09-30-0.11-0.13-0.0218 
2024-02-14
2023-12-31-0.15-0.130.0213 
2023-11-02
2023-09-30-0.15-0.130.0213 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aurora Innovation Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Aurora Innovation's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Aurora Innovation's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Aurora Innovation's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Aurora Innovation's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Aurora Innovation Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aurora Innovation stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Computers Idea
Computers
USA Equities from Computers industry as classified by Fama & French

Aurora Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-12-31
23.4 M
Durable Capital Partners Lp2024-12-31
12.8 M
Lightspeed Management Co Llc2024-12-31
11.7 M
Allen Operations Llc2024-12-31
10.4 M
Primecap Management Company
10.2 M
Foxhaven Asset Management, Lp
9.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
8.9 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
8.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
8.7 M
Uber Technologies Inc2024-12-31
326 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-12-31
221 M
Note, although Aurora Innovation's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aurora Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 12.58 B.

Aurora Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.49)(0.52)
Return On Capital Employed(0.39)(0.41)
Return On Assets(0.35)(0.37)
Return On Equity(0.40)(0.42)

Management Efficiency

Aurora Innovation has Return on Asset of (0.2247) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.2247. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (0.3876) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Aurora Innovation's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aurora Innovation manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 03/23/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.52. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.41. At this time, Aurora Innovation's Net Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/23/2025, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 938.2 M, while Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to drop slightly above 21.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.16  1.01 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.78  0.60 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(12.85)(13.50)
Price Book Value Ratio 5.44  5.71 
Enterprise Value Multiple(12.85)(13.50)
Price Fair Value 5.44  5.71 
Enterprise Value10.1 B8.8 B
Aurora Innovation benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Beta
2.835
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.39)

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of March, Aurora Innovation shows the Downside Deviation of 6.09, mean deviation of 5.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0486. Aurora Innovation technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Aurora Innovation standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Aurora Innovation is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.23 per share. Given that Aurora Innovation has jensen alpha of 0.5825, we suggest you to validate Aurora Innovation's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aurora Innovation Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aurora Innovation middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aurora Innovation. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Aurora Innovation Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aurora Innovation insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aurora Innovation's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aurora Innovation insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Aurora Innovation Outstanding Bonds

Aurora Innovation issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aurora Innovation uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aurora bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aurora Innovation has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Aurora Innovation Predictive Daily Indicators

Aurora Innovation intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aurora Innovation stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aurora Innovation Corporate Filings

F4
21st of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
12th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
3rd of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
30th of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
20th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Aurora Innovation Forecast Models

Aurora Innovation's time-series forecasting models are one of many Aurora Innovation's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aurora Innovation's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aurora Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aurora Innovation prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aurora shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Aurora Innovation. By using and applying Aurora Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aurora entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(29.14)(30.60)
Operating Profit Margin 3.47  3.64 
Net Loss(45.80)(43.51)
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.32 

Current Aurora Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aurora analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aurora analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.85Buy7Odds
Aurora Innovation current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aurora analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aurora stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aurora Innovation, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aurora conference calls.
Aurora Analyst Advice Details

Aurora Stock Analysis Indicators

Aurora Innovation stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aurora Innovation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aurora Innovation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aurora Innovation stock analysis, traders can identify Aurora Innovation position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow518 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.9 B
Capital Lease Obligations121 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net224 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
Net Invested Capital1.9 B
Shares FloatB
Cash211 M
200 Day M A5.4858
50 Day M A7.1619
Total Current Liabilities105 M
Investments-172 M
Stock Based Compensation144 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Free Cash Flow-645 M
Operating Income-786 M
Other Current Assets31 M
Net Debt-90 M
Depreciation21 M
Non Current Assets Total884 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity2.1 B
Non Currrent Assets Other43 M

Additional Tools for Aurora Stock Analysis

When running Aurora Innovation's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.