UNIQA Insurance (Germany) Price Prediction
| UN9 Stock | 7.61 0.07 0.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using UNIQA Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UNIQA Insurance Group from the perspective of UNIQA Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UNIQA Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UNIQA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
UNIQA Insurance after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UNIQA |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UNIQA Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
UNIQA Insurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UNIQA Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UNIQA Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UNIQA Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UNIQA Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UNIQA Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UNIQA Insurance's historical news coverage. UNIQA Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.74 and 8.48, respectively. We have considered UNIQA Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UNIQA Insurance is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UNIQA Insurance Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
UNIQA Insurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UNIQA Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UNIQA Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UNIQA Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.61 | 7.61 | 0.00 |
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UNIQA Insurance Hype Timeline
UNIQA Insurance Group is at this time traded for 7.61on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UNIQA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on UNIQA Insurance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.61. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. UNIQA Insurance Group last dividend was issued on the 15th of June 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out UNIQA Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.UNIQA Insurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UNIQA Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UNIQA Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how UNIQA Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UNIQA Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRYN | Berkshire Hathaway | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.06 | 1.65 | (1.09) | 7.88 | |
| ALV | Allianz SE VNA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (1.02) | 3.34 | |
| AXA | AXA SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.56 | (1.85) | 5.88 | |
| AXA | AXA SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.66 | (2.34) | 6.18 | |
| ASG | Assicurazioni Generali SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.04 | 1.70 | (1.53) | 7.00 | |
| HFF | The Hartford Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | (0.01) | 1.98 | (1.94) | 12.24 | |
| SLW1 | Swiss Life Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | (0.01) | 4.28 | (3.65) | 10.56 | |
| TLX | Talanx AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.04 | 2.27 | (1.96) | 9.30 | |
| UN9 | UNIQA Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0) | 1.12 | (1.24) | 4.48 |
UNIQA Insurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UNIQA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UNIQA using various technical indicators. When you analyze UNIQA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About UNIQA Insurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of UNIQA Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UNIQA Insurance Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UNIQA Insurance based on analysis of UNIQA Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UNIQA Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UNIQA Insurance's related companies.
Story Coverage note for UNIQA Insurance
The number of cover stories for UNIQA Insurance depends on current market conditions and UNIQA Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UNIQA Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UNIQA Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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UNIQA Insurance Short Properties
UNIQA Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when UNIQA Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UNIQA Insurance Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UNIQA Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UNIQA Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 307 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.8 B |
Additional Tools for UNIQA Stock Analysis
When running UNIQA Insurance's price analysis, check to measure UNIQA Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UNIQA Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of UNIQA Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UNIQA Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UNIQA Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UNIQA Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.