Tko Group Holdings, Stock Price Prediction
| TKO Stock | 150.40 0.55 0.37% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7075 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5548 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3863 | Wall Street Target Price 170.1753 |
Using TKO Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TKO Group Holdings, from the perspective of TKO Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TKO Group using TKO Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TKO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TKO Group's stock price.
TKO Group Short Interest
An investor who is long TKO Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TKO Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge TKO Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 128.8457 | Short Percent 0.0902 | Short Ratio 4.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 153.2992 |
TKO Group Holdings, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TKO Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TKO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TKO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TKO Group Holdings,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TKO Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TKO Group.
TKO Group Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
TKO Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TKO Group Holdings, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TKO Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TKO Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when TKO Group's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TKO Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TKO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TKO Group after-hype prediction price | USD 149.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TKO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TKO Group Holdings, will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With TKO Group trading at USD 150.4, that is roughly USD 0.0536 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TKO Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TKO Group Holdings, options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
TKO |
TKO Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TKO Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TKO Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TKO Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TKO Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TKO Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TKO Group's historical news coverage. TKO Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.68 and 152.02, respectively. We have considered TKO Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TKO Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TKO Group Holdings, is based on 3 months time horizon.
TKO Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TKO Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TKO Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TKO Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.17 | 0.56 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
150.40 | 149.85 | 0.00 |
|
TKO Group Hype Timeline
On the 20th of March TKO Group Holdings, is traded for 150.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. TKO is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 42.8%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on TKO Group is about 3164.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 150.39. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of TKO Group was at this time reported as 50.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out TKO Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TKO Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TKO Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TKO Group's future price movements. Getting to know how TKO Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TKO Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCE | BCE Inc | (1.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 2.23 | (2.88) | 8.74 | |
| SPHR | Sphere Entertainment Co | 0.46 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.86 | (5.47) | 20.04 | |
| SCSC | ScanSource | 0.76 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.41 | (3.66) | 18.40 | |
| WVVIP | Willamette Valley Vineyards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.82 | (3.83) | 10.52 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.34 | 2.11 | (1.67) | 8.78 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.76 | (2.53) | 6.75 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | (0.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.21 | (4.42) | 19.52 |
TKO Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TKO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TKO using various technical indicators. When you analyze TKO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TKO Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TKO Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TKO Group Holdings,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TKO Group based on analysis of TKO Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TKO Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TKO Group's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.19 | 0.0439 | 0.005818 | 0.005527 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.0 | 4.03 | 4.12 | 3.2 |
Story Coverage note for TKO Group
The number of cover stories for TKO Group depends on current market conditions and TKO Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TKO Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TKO Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
TKO Group Short Properties
TKO Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when TKO Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TKO Group Holdings, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TKO Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TKO Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 525.6 M |
Check out TKO Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TKO Group. If investors know TKO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TKO Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Earnings Share 0.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 | Return On Assets |
The market value of TKO Group Holdings, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TKO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TKO Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TKO Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TKO Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TKO Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TKO Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TKO Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TKO Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.