Tsakos Energy Navigation Stock Price Prediction
| TEN Stock | USD 18.64 0.26 1.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.43 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.705 | Wall Street Target Price 27 |
Using Tsakos Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tsakos Energy Navigation from the perspective of Tsakos Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tsakos Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tsakos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tsakos Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 18.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tsakos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tsakos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tsakos Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tsakos Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tsakos Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tsakos Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tsakos Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tsakos Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tsakos Energy's historical news coverage. Tsakos Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.35 and 20.85, respectively. We have considered Tsakos Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tsakos Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tsakos Energy Navigation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tsakos Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tsakos Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tsakos Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tsakos Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.23 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.64 | 18.60 | 0.21 |
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Tsakos Energy Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Tsakos Energy Navigation is traded for 18.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Tsakos is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Tsakos Energy is about 6968.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.63. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tsakos Energy Navigation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.53. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.66. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2024. Tsakos Energy had 1:5 split on the 1st of July 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Tsakos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tsakos Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tsakos Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tsakos Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Tsakos Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tsakos Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.77 | (3.31) | 9.18 | |
| ASC | Ardmore Shpng | (0.26) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 2.41 | (3.86) | 10.54 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.93 | (5.79) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (2.98) | 34.02 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.61) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.25 | (0.39) | 0.34 | (0.33) | 1.91 | |
| SCAXF | Sparta Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.47 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.04) | 2.28 | (1.20) | 7.18 |
Tsakos Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tsakos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tsakos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tsakos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tsakos Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tsakos Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tsakos Energy Navigation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tsakos Energy based on analysis of Tsakos Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tsakos Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tsakos Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.26 | 0.0923 | 0.0944 | 0.0783 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
Story Coverage note for Tsakos Energy
The number of cover stories for Tsakos Energy depends on current market conditions and Tsakos Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tsakos Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tsakos Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tsakos Energy Short Properties
Tsakos Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tsakos Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tsakos Energy Navigation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tsakos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tsakos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 372.7 M |
Check out Tsakos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tsakos Energy. If investors know Tsakos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tsakos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.43 | Dividend Share 0.9 | Earnings Share 5.66 | Revenue Per Share 27.878 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Tsakos Energy Navigation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tsakos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tsakos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tsakos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tsakos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tsakos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tsakos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tsakos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tsakos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.