Savers Value Village, Stock Price Prediction
| SVV Stock | 7.90 0.10 1.28% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0711 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4125 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.52 | Wall Street Target Price 12.5 |
Using Savers Value hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Savers Value Village, from the perspective of Savers Value response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Savers Value using Savers Value's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Savers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Savers Value's stock price.
Savers Value Short Interest
An investor who is long Savers Value may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Savers Value and may potentially protect profits, hedge Savers Value with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.7463 | Short Percent 0.3101 | Short Ratio 10.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 10.5654 |
Savers Value Village, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Savers Value's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Savers. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Savers can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Savers Value Village,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Savers Value's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Savers Value.
Savers Value Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
Savers Value's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Savers Value Village, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Savers Value's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Savers Value stock will not fluctuate a lot when Savers Value's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Savers Value to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Savers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Savers Value after-hype prediction price | USD 7.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Savers contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Savers Value Village, will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0838% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Savers Value trading at USD 7.9, that is roughly USD 0.006616 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Savers Value's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Savers Value Village, options at the current volatility level of 1.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Savers |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Savers Value's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Savers Value After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Savers Value at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Savers Value or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Savers Value, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Savers Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Savers Value's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Savers Value's historical news coverage. Savers Value's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.83 and 11.97, respectively. We have considered Savers Value's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Savers Value is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Savers Value Village, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Savers Value Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Savers Value is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Savers Value backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Savers Value, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 4.11 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.90 | 7.90 | 0.00 |
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Savers Value Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Savers Value Village, is traded for 7.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Savers is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Savers Value is about 453.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.72. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Savers Value was at this time reported as 2.65. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Savers Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Savers Value Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Savers Value's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Savers Value's future price movements. Getting to know how Savers Value's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Savers Value may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | (4.78) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.14 | (6.08) | 14.55 | |
| BC | Brunswick | (0.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.38 | (2.72) | 10.09 | |
| CAOHF | FDG Electric Vehicles | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LI | Li Auto | (0.31) | 7 per month | 2.65 | 0.13 | 6.20 | (4.79) | 13.04 | |
| SNDL | SNDL Inc | 0.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.62 | (3.87) | 11.94 | |
| WVVIP | Willamette Valley Vineyards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.01 | 3.82 | (3.67) | 10.52 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | 0.86 | 7 per month | 0.70 | 0.19 | 1.92 | (1.13) | 5.79 | |
| SAM | Boston Beer | (2.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.30 | (2.45) | 9.46 |
Savers Value Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Savers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Savers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Savers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Savers Value Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Savers Value stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Savers Value Village,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Savers Value based on analysis of Savers Value hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Savers Value's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Savers Value's related companies. | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0189 | 0.0161 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.56 | 2.92 |
Story Coverage note for Savers Value
The number of cover stories for Savers Value depends on current market conditions and Savers Value's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Savers Value is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Savers Value's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Savers Value Short Properties
Savers Value's future price predictability will typically decrease when Savers Value's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Savers Value Village, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Savers Value's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Savers Value's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 166.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150 M |
Additional Tools for Savers Stock Analysis
When running Savers Value's price analysis, check to measure Savers Value's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Savers Value is operating at the current time. Most of Savers Value's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Savers Value's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Savers Value's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Savers Value to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.