Scully Royalty Stock Price Prediction
| SRL Stock | USD 7.29 0.05 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
Using Scully Royalty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scully Royalty from the perspective of Scully Royalty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Scully Royalty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Scully because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Scully Royalty after-hype prediction price | USD 7.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Scully |
Scully Royalty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scully Royalty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scully Royalty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scully Royalty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scully Royalty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scully Royalty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scully Royalty's historical news coverage. Scully Royalty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.87 and 9.69, respectively. We have considered Scully Royalty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scully Royalty is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scully Royalty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scully Royalty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scully Royalty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scully Royalty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scully Royalty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.41 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.29 | 7.28 | 0.14 |
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Scully Royalty Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Scully Royalty is traded for 7.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Scully is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Scully Royalty is about 260.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.46. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Scully Royalty last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2023. The entity had 1:5 split on the 14th of July 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Scully Royalty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Scully Royalty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scully Royalty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scully Royalty's future price movements. Getting to know how Scully Royalty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scully Royalty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PJT | PJT Partners | (3.48) | 12 per month | 0.91 | 0.14 | 3.55 | (2.04) | 18.44 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | 4.84 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.1 | 3.07 | (2.70) | 22.79 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | 7.06 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.10 | 3.06 | (2.72) | 19.27 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | 5.05 | 12 per month | 1.50 | 0.03 | 3.42 | (3.04) | 22.37 | |
| HLI | Houlihan Lokey | (2.79) | 11 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 2.31 | (2.04) | 12.41 | |
| DFIN | Donnelley Financial Solutions | (0.74) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.03 | (3.22) | 11.70 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.16 | 3.01 | (1.97) | 16.31 | |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | 0.76 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.08 | 2.58 | (2.06) | 13.50 | |
| SF-PD | Stifel Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0.07) | 2.15 | (1.76) | 5.61 | |
| SCHW-PD | The Charles Schwab | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | (0.32) | 0.52 | (0.44) | 1.44 | |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | (0.46) | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.09 | 3.77 | (3.16) | 22.05 |
Scully Royalty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scully price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scully using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scully charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Scully Royalty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Scully Royalty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Scully Royalty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Scully Royalty based on analysis of Scully Royalty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Scully Royalty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Scully Royalty's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0274 | 0.0227 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.27 | 2.39 |
Story Coverage note for Scully Royalty
The number of cover stories for Scully Royalty depends on current market conditions and Scully Royalty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scully Royalty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scully Royalty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scully Royalty Short Properties
Scully Royalty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scully Royalty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scully Royalty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scully Royalty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scully Royalty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.2 M |
Check out Scully Royalty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Scully Stock please use our How to buy in Scully Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scully Royalty. If investors know Scully will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scully Royalty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share 3.707 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets 0.0036 |
The market value of Scully Royalty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scully that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scully Royalty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scully Royalty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scully Royalty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scully Royalty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scully Royalty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scully Royalty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scully Royalty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.