Smartsheet Stock Price Prediction
| SMAR Stock | USD 55.95 0.05 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.94 | Wall Street Target Price 56.4839 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.173 |
Using Smartsheet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smartsheet from the perspective of Smartsheet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smartsheet using Smartsheet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smartsheet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smartsheet's stock price.
Smartsheet Short Interest
An investor who is long Smartsheet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Smartsheet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Smartsheet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.1946 | Short Percent 0.0191 | Short Ratio 0.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 55.6006 |
Smartsheet Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Smartsheet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Smartsheet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Smartsheet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Smartsheet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Smartsheet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Smartsheet.
Smartsheet Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Smartsheet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smartsheet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smartsheet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smartsheet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smartsheet's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smartsheet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smartsheet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smartsheet after-hype prediction price | USD 55.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smartsheet |
Smartsheet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smartsheet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smartsheet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smartsheet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smartsheet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smartsheet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smartsheet's historical news coverage. Smartsheet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.52 and 57.30, respectively. We have considered Smartsheet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smartsheet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smartsheet is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smartsheet Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smartsheet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smartsheet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smartsheet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.39 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 13 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.95 | 55.91 | 0.07 |
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Smartsheet Hype Timeline
Smartsheet is at this time traded for 55.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Smartsheet is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Smartsheet is about 250.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.10. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. Smartsheet recorded a loss per share of 0.32. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had a split on the 20th of June 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Smartsheet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smartsheet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smartsheet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smartsheet's future price movements. Getting to know how Smartsheet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smartsheet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Smartsheet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smartsheet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smartsheet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smartsheet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smartsheet Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smartsheet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smartsheet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smartsheet based on analysis of Smartsheet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smartsheet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smartsheet's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 100.15 | 94.54 | 90.92 | 55.36 | PTB Ratio | 15.49 | 11.57 | 9.98 | 9.48 |
Story Coverage note for Smartsheet
The number of cover stories for Smartsheet depends on current market conditions and Smartsheet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smartsheet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smartsheet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smartsheet Short Properties
Smartsheet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smartsheet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smartsheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smartsheet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smartsheet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 628.8 M |
Additional Tools for Smartsheet Stock Analysis
When running Smartsheet's price analysis, check to measure Smartsheet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smartsheet is operating at the current time. Most of Smartsheet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smartsheet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smartsheet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smartsheet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.