Signet Jewelers Stock Price Prediction
| SIG Stock | USD 56.65 8.35 17.29% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.788 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.6839 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.0043 | Wall Street Target Price 77.4 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.3335 |
Using Signet Jewelers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Signet Jewelers from the perspective of Signet Jewelers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Signet Jewelers using Signet Jewelers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Signet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Signet Jewelers' stock price.
Signet Jewelers Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Signet Jewelers' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Signet. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Signet Jewelers stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 81.6425 | Short Percent 0.2028 | Short Ratio 3.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.8 M | 50 Day MA 56.5384 |
Signet Jewelers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Signet Jewelers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Signet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Signet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Signet Jewelers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Signet Jewelers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Signet Jewelers.
Signet Jewelers Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Signet Jewelers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Signet Jewelers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Signet Jewelers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Signet Jewelers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Signet Jewelers' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Signet Jewelers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Signet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Signet Jewelers after-hype prediction price | USD 57.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Signet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Signet Jewelers will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-05-02 option contract. With Signet Jewelers trading at USD 56.65, that is roughly USD 0.0251 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Signet Jewelers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Signet Jewelers options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Signet |
Signet Jewelers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Signet Jewelers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Signet Jewelers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Signet Jewelers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Signet Jewelers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Signet Jewelers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Signet Jewelers' historical news coverage. Signet Jewelers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.72 and 61.22, respectively. We have considered Signet Jewelers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Signet Jewelers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Signet Jewelers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Signet Jewelers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Signet Jewelers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Signet Jewelers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Signet Jewelers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 3.75 | 0.82 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.65 | 57.47 | 1.45 |
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Signet Jewelers Hype Timeline
On the 19th of March Signet Jewelers is traded for 56.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.82, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Signet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 57.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.74%. The volatility of related hype on Signet Jewelers is about 4687.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.59. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.17 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 810.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Signet Jewelers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Signet Jewelers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Signet Jewelers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Signet Jewelers' future price movements. Getting to know how Signet Jewelers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Signet Jewelers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPR | Tapestry | (1.85) | 11 per month | 2.14 | 0.14 | 3.01 | (3.60) | 17.66 | |
| MOV | Movado Group | (0.43) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.77 | (2.78) | 7.03 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | (0.02) | 10 per month | 5.01 | 0.10 | 13.21 | (10.67) | 27.75 | |
| REAL | TheRealReal | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.46 | (8.83) | 36.64 | |
| FOSL | Fossil Group | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.79 | (8.39) | 36.28 | |
| CPRI | Capri Holdings | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.97 | (4.43) | 20.30 | |
| MYTE | MYT Netherlands Parent | 1.58 | 7 per month | 3.07 | 0.08 | 6.87 | (5.70) | 30.56 | |
| CTHR | Charles Colvard | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.77 | (8.43) | 45.55 | |
| ELA | Envela Corp | 0.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.45 | (3.97) | 13.23 |
Signet Jewelers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Signet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Signet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Signet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Signet Jewelers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Signet Jewelers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Signet Jewelers, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Signet Jewelers based on analysis of Signet Jewelers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Signet Jewelers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Signet Jewelers's related companies. | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0864 | 0.0162 | 0.005715 | 0.005429 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.2 | 0.63 | 1.69 | 1.6 |
Story Coverage note for Signet Jewelers
The number of cover stories for Signet Jewelers depends on current market conditions and Signet Jewelers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Signet Jewelers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Signet Jewelers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Signet Jewelers Short Properties
Signet Jewelers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Signet Jewelers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Signet Jewelers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Signet Jewelers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Signet Jewelers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Signet Stock analysis
When running Signet Jewelers' price analysis, check to measure Signet Jewelers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Signet Jewelers is operating at the current time. Most of Signet Jewelers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Signet Jewelers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Signet Jewelers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Signet Jewelers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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