Park Electrochemical Stock Price Prediction
| PKE Stock | USD 13.65 0.09 0.66% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.328 | Wall Street Target Price 26 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.238 |
Using Park Electrochemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Electrochemical from the perspective of Park Electrochemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park Electrochemical using Park Electrochemical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park Electrochemical's stock price.
Park Electrochemical Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Park Electrochemical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park Electrochemical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park Electrochemical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park Electrochemical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park Electrochemical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park Electrochemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Park Electrochemical after-hype prediction price | USD 13.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Park contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Park Electrochemical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Park Electrochemical trading at USD 13.65, that is roughly USD 0.007252 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Park Electrochemical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Park Electrochemical options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Park |
Park Electrochemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park Electrochemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Electrochemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Electrochemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park Electrochemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park Electrochemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Electrochemical's historical news coverage. Park Electrochemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.89 and 15.41, respectively. We have considered Park Electrochemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park Electrochemical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Electrochemical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park Electrochemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park Electrochemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Electrochemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Electrochemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.76 | 0.09 | 0.47 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.65 | 13.65 | 0.00 |
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Park Electrochemical Hype Timeline
On the 25th of February Park Electrochemical is traded for 13.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.47. Park is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Park Electrochemical is about 60.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.18. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Park Electrochemical was at this time reported as 5.39. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. Park Electrochemical last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of November 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Park Electrochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Park Electrochemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park Electrochemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Electrochemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Park Electrochemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Electrochemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | (0.57) | 9 per month | 4.11 | 0 | 5.14 | (5.37) | 32.27 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | 0.31 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.31 | (5.52) | 12.42 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (22.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.55 | (4.36) | 16.04 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (3.88) | 11.19 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.73 | 0.30 | 3.43 | (1.65) | 7.54 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.05 | 0.14 | 3.86 | (1.45) | 16.34 | |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings | (0.50) | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.06 | 3.45 | (3.09) | 9.93 |
Park Electrochemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Park Electrochemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Park Electrochemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park Electrochemical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park Electrochemical based on analysis of Park Electrochemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park Electrochemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park Electrochemical's related companies. | 2015 | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0986 | 0.1 | 0.009053 | 0.0086 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.86 | 5.47 | 2.7 | 1.86 |
Story Coverage note for Park Electrochemical
The number of cover stories for Park Electrochemical depends on current market conditions and Park Electrochemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Electrochemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Electrochemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Park Electrochemical Short Properties
Park Electrochemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Electrochemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Electrochemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Electrochemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Electrochemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Park Stock analysis
When running Park Electrochemical's price analysis, check to measure Park Electrochemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park Electrochemical is operating at the current time. Most of Park Electrochemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park Electrochemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park Electrochemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park Electrochemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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