Penguen Gida (Turkey) Price Prediction
| PENGD Stock | TRY 6.82 0.04 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Penguen Gida hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penguen Gida Sanayi from the perspective of Penguen Gida response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Penguen Gida to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Penguen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Penguen Gida after-hype prediction price | TRY 6.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Penguen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Penguen Gida's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Penguen Gida After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Penguen Gida at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Penguen Gida or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Penguen Gida, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Penguen Gida Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Penguen Gida's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Penguen Gida's historical news coverage. Penguen Gida's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.91 and 8.73, respectively. We have considered Penguen Gida's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Penguen Gida is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Penguen Gida Sanayi is based on 3 months time horizon.
Penguen Gida Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Penguen Gida is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penguen Gida backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Penguen Gida, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.82 | 6.82 | 0.00 |
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Penguen Gida Hype Timeline
Penguen Gida Sanayi is at this time traded for 6.82on Istanbul Stock Exchange of Turkey. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Penguen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Penguen Gida is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.82. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Penguen Gida was at this time reported as 3.62. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 109.23. Penguen Gida Sanayi had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1000 split on the 3rd of January 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Penguen Gida Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Penguen Gida Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Penguen Gida's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Penguen Gida's future price movements. Getting to know how Penguen Gida's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Penguen Gida may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TLMAN | Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.58 | (3.62) | 14.40 | |
| BAYRK | Bayrak EBT Taban | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.64 | (4.29) | 15.62 | |
| ALKA | Alkim Kagit Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.1 | 6.12 | (3.93) | 12.54 | |
| FMIZP | Federal Mogul Izmit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | (0.01) | 4.43 | (3.76) | 13.74 | |
| ATLAS | Atlas Menkul Kiymetler | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.12 | 4.24 | (3.35) | 14.14 | |
| KARTN | Kartonsan Karton Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.99 | (3.21) | 8.90 | |
| CEMTS | Cemtas Celik Makina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.53 | (2.97) | 5.81 |
Penguen Gida Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penguen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penguen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penguen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Penguen Gida Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Penguen Gida stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Penguen Gida Sanayi, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penguen Gida based on analysis of Penguen Gida hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Penguen Gida's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Penguen Gida's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Penguen Gida
The number of cover stories for Penguen Gida depends on current market conditions and Penguen Gida's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penguen Gida is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penguen Gida's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Penguen Gida Short Properties
Penguen Gida's future price predictability will typically decrease when Penguen Gida's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penguen Gida Sanayi often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penguen Gida's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penguen Gida's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175 M |
Complementary Tools for Penguen Stock analysis
When running Penguen Gida's price analysis, check to measure Penguen Gida's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penguen Gida is operating at the current time. Most of Penguen Gida's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penguen Gida's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penguen Gida's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penguen Gida to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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