Peninsula Energy (Germany) Price Prediction

P1M Stock  EUR 0.73  0.06  8.96%   
The value of RSI of Peninsula Energy's share price is below 30 as of 14th of December 2024 indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Peninsula Energy Limited, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

28

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peninsula Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Peninsula Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Peninsula Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peninsula Energy Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Peninsula Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peninsula Energy Limited from the perspective of Peninsula Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Peninsula Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Peninsula because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Peninsula Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Peninsula Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.647.25
Details

Peninsula Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peninsula Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peninsula Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peninsula Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peninsula Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peninsula Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peninsula Energy's historical news coverage. Peninsula Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 7.28, respectively. We have considered Peninsula Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.73
0.67
After-hype Price
7.28
Upside
Peninsula Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peninsula Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peninsula Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peninsula Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peninsula Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peninsula Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
6.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.73
0.67
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Peninsula Energy Hype Timeline

Peninsula Energy is at this time traded for 0.73on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Peninsula is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Peninsula Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.73. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Peninsula Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 20:1 split on the 23rd of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Peninsula Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Peninsula Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peninsula Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peninsula Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Peninsula Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peninsula Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BHP1BHP Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.58 (0) 3.49 (2.14) 9.32 
CVLBVale SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.77 (3.74) 14.91 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.36 (3.96) 20.22 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 9.09 (10.00) 52.42 
NOH1Norsk Hydro ASA 0.00 0 per month 1.77  0.07  6.61 (3.25) 13.10 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 1.14  0.08  2.94 (2.03) 13.65 
XYTACHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 0.00 0 per month 8.11  0.14  33.33 (20.00) 233.33 
9K1NORDIC HALIBUT AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.94 (4.66) 14.80 
3RKURYOHIN UNSPADR1 0.00 0 per month 1.25  0.18  3.31 (2.40) 9.54 
VUSAVanguard Funds Public 0.00 0 per month 0.48  0.13  1.19 (1.04) 6.02 

Peninsula Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peninsula price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peninsula using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peninsula charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Peninsula Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Peninsula Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Peninsula Energy Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Peninsula Energy based on analysis of Peninsula Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Peninsula Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Peninsula Energy's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Peninsula Energy

The number of cover stories for Peninsula Energy depends on current market conditions and Peninsula Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peninsula Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peninsula Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Peninsula Energy Short Properties

Peninsula Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peninsula Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peninsula Energy Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peninsula Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peninsula Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding997.3 M

Complementary Tools for Peninsula Stock analysis

When running Peninsula Energy's price analysis, check to measure Peninsula Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peninsula Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Peninsula Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peninsula Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peninsula Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peninsula Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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