Mühlbauer Holding (Germany) Price Prediction
| MUB Stock | 41.80 0.20 0.48% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mühlbauer Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mhlbauer Holding AG from the perspective of Mühlbauer Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mühlbauer Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mühlbauer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mühlbauer Holding after-hype prediction price | EUR 41.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mühlbauer |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mühlbauer Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mühlbauer Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mühlbauer Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mühlbauer Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mühlbauer Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mühlbauer Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mühlbauer Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mühlbauer Holding's historical news coverage. Mühlbauer Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.35 and 43.25, respectively. We have considered Mühlbauer Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mühlbauer Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mühlbauer Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mühlbauer Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mühlbauer Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mühlbauer Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mühlbauer Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.80 | 41.80 | 0.00 |
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Mühlbauer Holding Hype Timeline
Mühlbauer Holding is now traded for 41.80on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mühlbauer is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mühlbauer Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.80. The book value of the company was now reported as 18.64. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2022. Mühlbauer Holding had 2:1 split on the 1st of February 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Mühlbauer Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mühlbauer Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mühlbauer Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mühlbauer Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Mühlbauer Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mühlbauer Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 7VS | VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.17 | 3.06 | (2.27) | 11.95 | |
| KDIC | Kingdee International Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.15 | 8.18 | (5.75) | 23.40 | |
| FT1 | FARO Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.03 | 5.43 | (3.94) | 26.78 | |
| CNB0 | FORTRESS BIOTECHPRFA 25 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 8.11 | (7.09) | 22.47 | |
| CYB | CyberArk Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.73 | 0.07 | 4.44 | (3.55) | 17.22 | |
| OS3 | OPERA SOFTWARE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.14 | 3.17 | (1.61) | 8.12 | |
| AOF | ATOSS SOFTWARE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | 0.10 | 3.78 | (2.95) | 9.93 | |
| G51 | Genscript Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.14 | 4.90 | (3.95) | 10.98 |
Mühlbauer Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mühlbauer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mühlbauer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mühlbauer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mühlbauer Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mühlbauer Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mhlbauer Holding AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mühlbauer Holding based on analysis of Mühlbauer Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mühlbauer Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mühlbauer Holding's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mühlbauer Holding
The number of cover stories for Mühlbauer Holding depends on current market conditions and Mühlbauer Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mühlbauer Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mühlbauer Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mühlbauer Holding Short Properties
Mühlbauer Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mühlbauer Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mhlbauer Holding AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mühlbauer Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mühlbauer Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.3 M |
Additional Tools for Mühlbauer Stock Analysis
When running Mühlbauer Holding's price analysis, check to measure Mühlbauer Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mühlbauer Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Mühlbauer Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mühlbauer Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mühlbauer Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mühlbauer Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.