Moneysupermarket (UK) Price Prediction

MONY Stock   206.00  1.80  0.88%   
The value of RSI of Moneysupermarket's stock price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Moneysupermarket, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Moneysupermarket's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Moneysupermarket and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Moneysupermarket's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MoneysupermarketCom Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Moneysupermarket's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.135
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1808
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.196
Wall Street Target Price
265.909
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Moneysupermarket hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MoneysupermarketCom Group PLC from the perspective of Moneysupermarket response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moneysupermarket to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moneysupermarket because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Moneysupermarket after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 206.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Moneysupermarket Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.39166.86226.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
205.87207.34208.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Moneysupermarket After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Moneysupermarket at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moneysupermarket or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moneysupermarket, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Moneysupermarket Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Moneysupermarket's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moneysupermarket's historical news coverage. Moneysupermarket's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 205.18 and 208.12, respectively. We have considered Moneysupermarket's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
206.00
205.18
Downside
206.65
After-hype Price
208.12
Upside
Moneysupermarket is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MoneysupermarketCom is based on 3 months time horizon.

Moneysupermarket Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moneysupermarket is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moneysupermarket backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moneysupermarket, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.47
  0.65 
  0.38 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
206.00
206.65
0.32 
29.40  
Notes

Moneysupermarket Hype Timeline

MoneysupermarketCom is now traded for 206.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. Moneysupermarket is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 206.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 29.4%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Moneysupermarket is about 50.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 206.38. The company reported the revenue of 439.2 M. Net Income was 80.2 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.6 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Moneysupermarket Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Moneysupermarket Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Moneysupermarket's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moneysupermarket's future price movements. Getting to know how Moneysupermarket's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moneysupermarket may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BYITBytes Technology 7.20 4 per month 1.33  0.09  3.12 (2.56) 18.01 
SFTSoftware Circle plc(0.50)5 per month 1.01  0.22  4.73 (2.00) 12.79 
0SPTSpotify Technology SA 12.30 8 per month 3.17  0.11  4.89 (5.54) 19.16 
0RG8Sartorius Stedim Biotech(4.58)2 per month 1.87  0.01  3.69 (3.04) 17.17 
0LCXTake Two Interactive Software 1.24 8 per month 1.10  0.11  3.20 (2.23) 17.50 
0Z4ISunny Optical Technology 0.15 3 per month 3.08  0.03  5.71 (6.05) 19.93 
0K19Microchip Technology 0.35 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.43 (5.12) 20.58 
CNCConcurrent Technologies Plc 7.00 7 per month 1.66  0.16  5.10 (3.47) 17.79 

Moneysupermarket Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Moneysupermarket price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moneysupermarket using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moneysupermarket charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Moneysupermarket Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Moneysupermarket stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MoneysupermarketCom Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moneysupermarket based on analysis of Moneysupermarket hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moneysupermarket's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moneysupermarket's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Moneysupermarket

The number of cover stories for Moneysupermarket depends on current market conditions and Moneysupermarket's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moneysupermarket is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moneysupermarket's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Moneysupermarket Short Properties

Moneysupermarket's future price predictability will typically decrease when Moneysupermarket's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MoneysupermarketCom Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moneysupermarket's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moneysupermarket's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding539.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.4 M

Additional Tools for Moneysupermarket Stock Analysis

When running Moneysupermarket's price analysis, check to measure Moneysupermarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moneysupermarket is operating at the current time. Most of Moneysupermarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moneysupermarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moneysupermarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moneysupermarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.