Tokio Marine (Germany) Price Prediction
| MH6 Stock | EUR 34.43 0.73 2.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tokio Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tokio Marine Holdings from the perspective of Tokio Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tokio Marine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tokio because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tokio Marine after-hype prediction price | EUR 34.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tokio |
Tokio Marine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tokio Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tokio Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tokio Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tokio Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tokio Marine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tokio Marine's historical news coverage. Tokio Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.45 and 36.41, respectively. We have considered Tokio Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tokio Marine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tokio Marine Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tokio Marine Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tokio Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tokio Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tokio Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.43 | 34.43 | 0.00 |
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Tokio Marine Hype Timeline
Tokio Marine Holdings is now traded for 34.43on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tokio is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tokio Marine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.43. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tokio Marine Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 3:1 split on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Tokio Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tokio Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tokio Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tokio Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Tokio Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tokio Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MH6 | Tokio Marine Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.02 | 4.07 | (3.74) | 12.43 | |
| WR1 | W R Berkley | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.08 | 3.22 | (2.21) | 9.24 | |
| LTR | Loews Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.14 | 2.11 | (1.42) | 7.54 | |
| AF4 | The Hanover Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 2.92 | (1.96) | 7.23 | |
| 1ZO | ZhongAn Online P | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.41 | 0.09 | 5.71 | (4.24) | 43.05 |
Tokio Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tokio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tokio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tokio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Tokio Marine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tokio Marine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tokio Marine Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tokio Marine based on analysis of Tokio Marine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tokio Marine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tokio Marine's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Tokio Marine
The number of cover stories for Tokio Marine depends on current market conditions and Tokio Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tokio Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tokio Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tokio Marine Short Properties
Tokio Marine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tokio Marine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tokio Marine Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tokio Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokio Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 677.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 151.6 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.74 |
Complementary Tools for Tokio Stock analysis
When running Tokio Marine's price analysis, check to measure Tokio Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokio Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Tokio Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokio Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokio Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokio Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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