Monarch Casino Resort Stock Price Prediction
| MCRI Stock | USD 90.61 0.39 0.43% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.463 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.98 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.14 | Wall Street Target Price 91.8 |
Using Monarch Casino hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monarch Casino Resort from the perspective of Monarch Casino response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monarch Casino using Monarch Casino's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monarch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monarch Casino's stock price.
Monarch Casino Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Monarch Casino's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Monarch. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Monarch Casino stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 76.5664 | Short Percent 0.0215 | Short Ratio 2.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 193.1 K | 50 Day MA 83.9796 |
Monarch Casino Resort Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Monarch Casino's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monarch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monarch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monarch Casino Resort. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monarch Casino's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monarch Casino.
Monarch Casino Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Monarch Casino's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monarch Casino Resort stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monarch Casino's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monarch Casino stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monarch Casino's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Monarch Casino to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Monarch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Monarch Casino after-hype prediction price | USD 90.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Monarch contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Monarch Casino Resort will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Monarch Casino trading at USD 90.61, that is roughly USD 0.03 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Monarch Casino's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Monarch Casino Resort options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Monarch |
Monarch Casino After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monarch Casino at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monarch Casino or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monarch Casino, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monarch Casino Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monarch Casino's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monarch Casino's historical news coverage. Monarch Casino's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 88.97 and 92.45, respectively. We have considered Monarch Casino's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monarch Casino is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monarch Casino Resort is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monarch Casino Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monarch Casino is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monarch Casino backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monarch Casino, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.72 | 0.53 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
90.61 | 90.71 | 0.54 |
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Monarch Casino Hype Timeline
Monarch Casino Resort is now traded for 90.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Monarch is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 90.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 49.0%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Monarch Casino is about 2702.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 522.19 M. Net Income was 82.45 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 280.82 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Monarch Casino Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Monarch Casino Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monarch Casino's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monarch Casino's future price movements. Getting to know how Monarch Casino's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monarch Casino may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts | (1.54) | 5 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 2.96 | (2.63) | 8.45 | |
| FLL | Full House Resorts | 0.09 | 8 per month | 2.29 | 0.07 | 4.18 | (4.18) | 20.31 | |
| BALY | Ballys Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.61 | (6.23) | 17.67 | |
| BVH | Bluegreen Vacations Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.10 | (2.13) | 8.59 | |
| CNTY | Century Casinos | 0.24 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.72 | (6.01) | 16.02 | |
| MLCO | Melco Resorts Entertainment | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.55 | (4.66) | 13.21 | |
| PLYA | Playa Hotels Resorts | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.15 | 2.72 | (1.84) | 31.78 | |
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | 0.52 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.65 | (2.33) | 10.85 | |
| CZR | Caesars Entertainment | 1.56 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.71 | (3.24) | 15.59 | |
| MSC | Studio City International | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.30 | (8.54) | 23.91 |
Monarch Casino Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monarch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monarch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monarch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Monarch Casino Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Monarch Casino stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Monarch Casino Resort, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monarch Casino based on analysis of Monarch Casino hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Monarch Casino's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Monarch Casino's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 2.71 | 2.59 | 2.98 | 2.74 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.06 | 2.65 | 2.81 | 1.58 |
Story Coverage note for Monarch Casino
The number of cover stories for Monarch Casino depends on current market conditions and Monarch Casino's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monarch Casino is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monarch Casino's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monarch Casino Short Properties
Monarch Casino's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monarch Casino's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monarch Casino Resort often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monarch Casino's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monarch Casino's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 112.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.2 |
Complementary Tools for Monarch Stock analysis
When running Monarch Casino's price analysis, check to measure Monarch Casino's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monarch Casino is operating at the current time. Most of Monarch Casino's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monarch Casino's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monarch Casino's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monarch Casino to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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