Mainstay Balanced Fund Price Prediction

MBINX Fund  USD 31.05  0.02  0.06%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mainstay Balanced's mutual fund price is slightly above 66. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mainstay, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mainstay Balanced's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mainstay Balanced Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mainstay Balanced hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mainstay Balanced Fund from the perspective of Mainstay Balanced response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mainstay Balanced to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mainstay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mainstay Balanced after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mainstay Balanced Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6231.2831.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.4930.1530.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.2631.6733.08
Details

Mainstay Balanced After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mainstay Balanced at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mainstay Balanced or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mainstay Balanced, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mainstay Balanced Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mainstay Balanced's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mainstay Balanced's historical news coverage. Mainstay Balanced's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.39 and 31.71, respectively. We have considered Mainstay Balanced's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.05
31.05
After-hype Price
31.71
Upside
Mainstay Balanced is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mainstay Balanced is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mainstay Balanced Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mainstay Balanced is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mainstay Balanced backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mainstay Balanced, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.05
31.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mainstay Balanced Hype Timeline

Mainstay Balanced is now traded for 31.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mainstay is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mainstay Balanced is about 8250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.05. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mainstay Balanced Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mainstay Balanced Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mainstay Balanced's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mainstay Balanced's future price movements. Getting to know how Mainstay Balanced's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mainstay Balanced may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MKINXMainstay Tax Free 0.00 0 per month 0.21 (0.47) 0.43 (0.32) 1.50 
MLGRXMainstay Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.72 (1.46) 24.26 
MLINXMainstay Large Cap(0.02)1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.72 (1.47) 21.92 
MLRTXMainstay Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.77 (1.43) 21.46 
MLRSXMainstay Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 3.17 (0.05) 1.72 (1.45) 17.93 
MLRRXMainstay Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 3.40 (0.05) 1.70 (1.49) 19.09 
MMHEXMainstay Mackay High 0.00 0 per month 0.28 (0.35) 0.50 (0.41) 1.93 
MMHVXMainstay High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.30 (0.39) 0.42 (0.41) 1.76 
MMRDXMainstay Moderate Allocation(0.06)1 per month 0.24 (0.13) 0.69 (0.61) 1.94 
MNODXMainstay Mackay New 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.39) 0.41 (0.41) 1.76 

Mainstay Balanced Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mainstay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mainstay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mainstay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mainstay Balanced Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mainstay Balanced stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mainstay Balanced Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mainstay Balanced based on analysis of Mainstay Balanced hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mainstay Balanced's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mainstay Balanced's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mainstay Balanced

The number of cover stories for Mainstay Balanced depends on current market conditions and Mainstay Balanced's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mainstay Balanced is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mainstay Balanced's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Balanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Balanced security.
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