Light Wonder (Australia) Price Prediction

LNW Stock   145.96  0.54  0.37%   
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Light Wonder's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Light Wonder, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Light Wonder's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Light Wonder, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Light Wonder's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.3431
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9454
Wall Street Target Price
180.9006
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.07
Using Light Wonder hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Light Wonder from the perspective of Light Wonder response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Light Wonder to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Light because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Light Wonder after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 146.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Light Wonder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Light Stock please use our How to Invest in Light Wonder guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.30146.51149.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
140.95144.16147.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.891.091.41
Details

Light Wonder After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Light Wonder at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Light Wonder or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Light Wonder, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Light Wonder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Light Wonder's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Light Wonder's historical news coverage. Light Wonder's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.85 and 149.27, respectively. We have considered Light Wonder's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
145.96
142.85
Downside
146.06
After-hype Price
149.27
Upside
Light Wonder is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Light Wonder is based on 3 months time horizon.

Light Wonder Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Light Wonder is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Light Wonder backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Light Wonder, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
3.21
  0.10 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
145.96
146.06
0.07 
439.73  
Notes

Light Wonder Hype Timeline

Light Wonder is now traded for 145.96on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Light is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 146.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Light Wonder is about 37450.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.96. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Light Wonder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Light Stock please use our How to Invest in Light Wonder guide.

Light Wonder Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Light Wonder's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Light Wonder's future price movements. Getting to know how Light Wonder's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Light Wonder may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Light Wonder Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Light price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Light using various technical indicators. When you analyze Light charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Light Wonder Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Light Wonder stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Light Wonder, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Light Wonder based on analysis of Light Wonder hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Light Wonder's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Light Wonder's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Light Wonder

The number of cover stories for Light Wonder depends on current market conditions and Light Wonder's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Light Wonder is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Light Wonder's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Light Stock Analysis

When running Light Wonder's price analysis, check to measure Light Wonder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Light Wonder is operating at the current time. Most of Light Wonder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Light Wonder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Light Wonder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Light Wonder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.