Logility Supply Chain Stock Price Prediction
| LGTY Stock | 11.08 0.16 1.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.41 | Wall Street Target Price 14.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0867 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 |
Using Logility Supply hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logility Supply Chain from the perspective of Logility Supply response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Logility Supply using Logility Supply's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Logility using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Logility Supply's stock price.
Logility Supply Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Logility Supply's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Logility Supply Chain stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Logility Supply's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Logility Supply stock will not fluctuate a lot when Logility Supply's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Logility Supply to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Logility because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Logility Supply after-hype prediction price | USD 11.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Logility contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Logility Supply Chain will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2025-01-17 option contract. With Logility Supply trading at USD 11.08, that is roughly USD 0.00374 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Logility Supply's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Logility Supply Chain options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Logility |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Logility Supply's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Logility Supply After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Logility Supply at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logility Supply or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logility Supply, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Logility Supply Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Logility Supply's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logility Supply's historical news coverage. Logility Supply's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.36 and 13.82, respectively. We have considered Logility Supply's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Logility Supply is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logility Supply Chain is based on 3 months time horizon.
Logility Supply Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logility Supply is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logility Supply backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logility Supply, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.73 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.08 | 11.09 | 0.09 |
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Logility Supply Hype Timeline
Logility Supply Chain is now traded for 11.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Logility is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Logility Supply is about 3981.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.07. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 102.52 M. Net Income was 9.69 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Logility Supply Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Logility Supply Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Logility Supply's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logility Supply's future price movements. Getting to know how Logility Supply's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logility Supply may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BDC | Belden Inc | (0.47) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.39 | (2.64) | 15.17 | |
| USAP | Universal Stainless Alloy | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.10 | 3.50 | (1.44) | 7.88 | |
| SIM | Grupo Simec SAB | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.02 | (5.26) | 16.16 | |
| HUHU | HUHUTECH International Group | 0.14 | 3 per month | 3.20 | 0.08 | 10.17 | (6.70) | 19.31 | |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.07 | 2.02 | (2.28) | 7.57 | |
| NPSCY | Nippon Steel Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.38 | (2.35) | 14.29 | |
| SEVT | Summit Environmental | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Logility Supply Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Logility price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logility using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logility charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Logility Supply Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Logility Supply stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Logility Supply Chain, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Logility Supply based on analysis of Logility Supply hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Logility Supply's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Logility Supply's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0357 | 0.0438 | 0.0504 | 0.0453 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.84 | 3.32 | 2.99 | 2.41 |
Story Coverage note for Logility Supply
The number of cover stories for Logility Supply depends on current market conditions and Logility Supply's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logility Supply is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logility Supply's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Logility Supply Short Properties
Logility Supply's future price predictability will typically decrease when Logility Supply's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Logility Supply Chain often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Logility Supply's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logility Supply's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.8 M |
Additional Tools for Logility Stock Analysis
When running Logility Supply's price analysis, check to measure Logility Supply's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Logility Supply is operating at the current time. Most of Logility Supply's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Logility Supply's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Logility Supply's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Logility Supply to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.