Kirby Stock Price Prediction
| KEX Stock | USD 99.03 2.86 2.97% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.021 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.5833 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.965 | Wall Street Target Price 135.5 |
Using Kirby hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kirby from the perspective of Kirby response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kirby using Kirby's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kirby using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kirby's stock price.
Kirby Short Interest
An investor who is long Kirby may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kirby and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kirby with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 116.3244 | Short Percent 0.0299 | Short Ratio 2.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 105.1502 |
Kirby Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kirby's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kirby. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kirby can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kirby. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kirby's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kirby.
Kirby Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Kirby's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kirby stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kirby's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kirby stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kirby's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kirby to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kirby because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kirby after-hype prediction price | USD 99.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kirby contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kirby will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Kirby trading at USD 99.03, that is roughly USD 0.0303 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kirby's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kirby options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kirby |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kirby's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kirby After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kirby at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kirby or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kirby, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kirby Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kirby's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kirby's historical news coverage. Kirby's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.26 and 100.80, respectively. We have considered Kirby's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kirby is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kirby is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kirby Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kirby is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kirby backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kirby, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.77 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.03 | 99.03 | 0.00 |
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Kirby Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Kirby is traded for 99.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Kirby is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kirby is about 680.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.98. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kirby has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 1989. The firm had 2:1 split on the 1st of June 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Kirby Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kirby Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kirby's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kirby's future price movements. Getting to know how Kirby's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kirby may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DAC | Danaos | (0.66) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.34 | (2.62) | 6.71 | |
| CMRE | Costamare | 0.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.50 | (3.25) | 11.48 | |
| CLCO | Cool Company | (0.44) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.02 | (5.23) | 16.61 | |
| GRIN | Grindrod Shipping Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.52) | 9 per month | 1.36 | 0.13 | 2.59 | (2.40) | 10.89 | |
| CPLP | CPLP Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESEA | Euroseas | (0.81) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.57 | (3.65) | 10.88 | |
| NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.95 | (3.55) | 11.57 | |
| HSHP | Himalaya Shipping | 0.08 | 6 per month | 2.74 | 0.08 | 4.80 | (4.14) | 11.70 | |
| GASS | StealthGas | (0.08) | 5 per month | 1.75 | 0.10 | 3.48 | (3.19) | 14.73 |
Kirby Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kirby price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kirby using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kirby charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kirby Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kirby stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kirby, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kirby based on analysis of Kirby hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kirby's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kirby's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009946 | 0.00888 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.89 | 1.2 |
Story Coverage note for Kirby
The number of cover stories for Kirby depends on current market conditions and Kirby's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kirby is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kirby's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kirby Short Properties
Kirby's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kirby's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kirby often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kirby's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kirby's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74.4 M |
Additional Tools for Kirby Stock Analysis
When running Kirby's price analysis, check to measure Kirby's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kirby is operating at the current time. Most of Kirby's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kirby's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kirby's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kirby to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.