Kensington Active Advantage Fund Price Prediction
| KADIX Fund | USD 10.20 0.07 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kensington Active hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kensington Active Advantage from the perspective of Kensington Active response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kensington Active to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kensington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kensington Active after-hype prediction price | USD 10.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kensington |
Kensington Active After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kensington Active at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kensington Active or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Kensington Active, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kensington Active Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kensington Active's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kensington Active's historical news coverage. Kensington Active's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.71 and 10.55, respectively. We have considered Kensington Active's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kensington Active is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kensington Active is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kensington Active Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Kensington Active is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kensington Active backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kensington Active, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.20 | 10.13 | 0.00 |
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Kensington Active Hype Timeline
Kensington Active is now traded for 10.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kensington is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kensington Active is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.20. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Kensington Active Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kensington Active Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kensington Active's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kensington Active's future price movements. Getting to know how Kensington Active's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kensington Active may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DFNDX | Kensington Defender Institutional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.68 | (0.84) | 3.41 | |
| KADAX | Kensington Active Advantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0 | 0.59 | (0.60) | 3.04 | |
| KADCX | Kensington Active Advantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | (0.01) | 0.51 | (0.60) | 3.06 | |
| KADIX | Kensington Active Advantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0 | 0.60 | (0.60) | 3.04 | |
| KAGAX | Kensington Dynamic Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.12 | 1.16 | (0.99) | 4.32 | |
| KAGCX | Kensington Dynamic Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.11 | 1.18 | (1.03) | 4.41 | |
| KAGIX | Kensington Dynamic Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.12 | 1.15 | (1.00) | 4.38 |
Kensington Active Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kensington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kensington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kensington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kensington Active Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kensington Active stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kensington Active Advantage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kensington Active based on analysis of Kensington Active hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kensington Active's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kensington Active's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kensington Active
The number of cover stories for Kensington Active depends on current market conditions and Kensington Active's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kensington Active is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kensington Active's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kensington Mutual Fund
Kensington Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kensington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kensington with respect to the benefits of owning Kensington Active security.
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