John Hancock Mid Fund Price Prediction

JACLX Fund  USD 18.92  0.14  0.75%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of John Hancock's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling John, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of John Hancock's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with John Hancock Mid, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using John Hancock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Hancock Mid from the perspective of John Hancock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in John Hancock to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying John because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

John Hancock after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0320.2221.31
Details

John Hancock After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of John Hancock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Hancock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of John Hancock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

John Hancock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting John Hancock's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Hancock's historical news coverage. John Hancock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.73 and 19.91, respectively. We have considered John Hancock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.92
18.82
After-hype Price
19.91
Upside
John Hancock is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Hancock Mid is based on 3 months time horizon.

John Hancock Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as John Hancock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Hancock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Hancock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
1.09
  0.10 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.92
18.82
0.53 
330.30  
Notes

John Hancock Hype Timeline

John Hancock Mid is currently traded for 18.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. John is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on John Hancock is about 21800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.92. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be very soon.
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

John Hancock Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to John Hancock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Hancock's future price movements. Getting to know how John Hancock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Hancock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRBAXRegional Bank Fund(0.05)1 per month 0.99  0.1  2.76 (1.66) 15.75 
FRBCXRegional Bank Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.99  0.1  2.74 (1.65) 15.70 
JQLMXMultimanager Lifestyle Moderate 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.23) 0.56 (0.48) 1.43 
JQLBXMultimanager Lifestyle Balanced 0.00 0 per month 0.30 (0.12) 0.66 (0.58) 2.06 
JQLAXMultimanager Lifestyle Aggressive 0.00 0 per month 0.41 (0.02) 1.07 (0.91) 3.11 
JQLCXMultimanager Lifestyle Servative 0.00 1 per month 0.17 (0.37) 0.34 (0.33) 1.00 
JQLGXMultimanager Lifestyle Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.39 (0.05) 0.90 (0.69) 2.65 
JRBFXRegional Bank Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.99  0.1  2.73 (1.66) 15.74 
JRETXJ Hancock Ii 0.00 0 per month 0.40  0  1.07 (0.83) 3.08 
JRGRXRegional Bank Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.1  2.76 (1.65) 15.70 

John Hancock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About John Hancock Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of John Hancock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as John Hancock Mid, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Hancock based on analysis of John Hancock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to John Hancock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Hancock's related companies.

Story Coverage note for John Hancock

The number of cover stories for John Hancock depends on current market conditions and John Hancock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that John Hancock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about John Hancock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in John Mutual Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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