First Quantum (Germany) Price Prediction

IZ1 Stock  EUR 12.32  0.56  4.35%   
As of 18th of December 2024, The value of RSI of First Quantum's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Quantum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Quantum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Quantum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Quantum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Quantum Minerals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Quantum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Quantum Minerals from the perspective of First Quantum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Quantum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Quantum after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Quantum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4712.5015.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2512.2715.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1812.4713.76
Details

First Quantum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Quantum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Quantum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Quantum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Quantum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Quantum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Quantum's historical news coverage. First Quantum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.29 and 15.35, respectively. We have considered First Quantum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.32
12.32
After-hype Price
15.35
Upside
First Quantum is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Quantum Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Quantum Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Quantum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Quantum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Quantum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
3.03
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.32
12.32
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Quantum Hype Timeline

First Quantum Minerals is currently traded for 12.32on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Quantum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.32. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.51. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Quantum Minerals last dividend was issued on the 14th of April 2023. The entity had 5:1 split on the 10th of August 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out First Quantum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Quantum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Quantum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Quantum's future price movements. Getting to know how First Quantum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Quantum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PCUSouthern Copper 0.00 0 per month 2.50  0.02  6.17 (3.14) 18.01 
S2ZSandfire Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.71  0.05  3.28 (3.10) 12.24 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.36 (4.50) 20.22 
6NMNMI Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.89 (2.76) 9.64 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 13.64 (10.00) 52.42 
TM9NorAm Drilling AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.06 (3.85) 24.09 
6HWBANK HANDLOWY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.23 (0.72) 3.41 
NOH1Norsk Hydro ASA 0.00 0 per month 1.86  0.02  6.61 (3.25) 13.10 
INLIntel 0.00 0 per month 2.74  0  7.04 (5.34) 16.28 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 1.34  0.06  2.94 (2.17) 13.65 

First Quantum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Quantum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Quantum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Quantum Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Quantum based on analysis of First Quantum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Quantum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Quantum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for First Quantum

The number of cover stories for First Quantum depends on current market conditions and First Quantum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Quantum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Quantum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

First Quantum Short Properties

First Quantum's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Quantum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Quantum Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Quantum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Quantum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding692.5 M
Dividends Paid75 M
Short Long Term Debt575 M

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Quantum's price analysis, check to measure First Quantum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Quantum is operating at the current time. Most of First Quantum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Quantum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Quantum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Quantum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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