Itron Inc Stock Price Prediction
ITRI Stock | USD 118.53 0.76 0.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.954 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3054 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0164 | Wall Street Target Price 127.2308 |
Using Itron hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Itron Inc from the perspective of Itron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Itron Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Itron's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Itron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Itron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Itron Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Itron's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Itron.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Itron to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Itron because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Itron after-hype prediction price | USD 117.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Itron |
Itron After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Itron at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Itron or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Itron, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Itron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Itron's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Itron's historical news coverage. Itron's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 115.79 and 119.63, respectively. We have considered Itron's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Itron is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Itron Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Itron Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Itron is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Itron backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Itron, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.92 | 0.82 | 0.41 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
118.53 | 117.71 | 0.69 |
|
Itron Hype Timeline
Itron Inc is currently traded for 118.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.82, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.41. Itron is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 117.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.29%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Itron is about 151.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 118.94. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Itron was currently reported as 29.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. Itron Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Itron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Itron Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Itron's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Itron's future price movements. Getting to know how Itron's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Itron may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MLAB | Mesa Laboratories | (1.71) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.47 | (5.50) | 23.18 | |
NOVT | Novanta | 7.80 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.84 | (2.60) | 14.41 | |
FTV | Fortive Corp | (0.44) | 11 per month | 1.14 | (0) | 2.09 | (1.69) | 6.53 | |
VPG | Vishay Precision Group | (0.66) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.24 | (3.47) | 11.08 | |
VNT | Vontier Corp | 0.02 | 12 per month | 1.11 | 0.04 | 2.48 | (2.06) | 11.02 | |
COHR | Coherent | 10.02 | 7 per month | 2.95 | 0.08 | 6.27 | (4.90) | 15.34 | |
ESE | ESCO Technologies | (4.37) | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.13 | 3.07 | (1.64) | 11.48 | |
ST | Sensata Technologies Holding | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.30 | (3.01) | 10.22 | |
TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | 3.17 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.05 | 2.31 | (1.35) | 8.10 | |
MKSI | MKS Instruments | (0.97) | 11 per month | 3.22 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (3.85) | 18.54 |
Itron Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Itron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Itron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Itron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Itron Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Itron stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Itron Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Itron based on analysis of Itron hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Itron's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Itron's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.63E-4 | 6.78E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.58 | 1.4 |
Story Coverage note for Itron
The number of cover stories for Itron depends on current market conditions and Itron's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Itron is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Itron's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Itron Short Properties
Itron's future price predictability will typically decrease when Itron's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Itron Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Itron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 302 M |
Complementary Tools for Itron Stock analysis
When running Itron's price analysis, check to measure Itron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Itron is operating at the current time. Most of Itron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Itron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Itron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Itron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon |