Integral Ad Science Stock Price Prediction
| IAS Stock | USD 10.48 0.17 1.60% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.824 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.872 | Wall Street Target Price 14.7394 |
Using Integral hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integral Ad Science from the perspective of Integral response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Integral using Integral's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Integral using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Integral's stock price.
Integral Short Interest
An investor who is long Integral may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Integral and may potentially protect profits, hedge Integral with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.498 | Short Percent 0.0809 | Short Ratio 8.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 10.4488 |
Integral Ad Science Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Integral's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Integral. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Integral can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Integral Ad Science. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Integral's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Integral.
Integral Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
Integral's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Integral Ad Science stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Integral's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Integral stock will not fluctuate a lot when Integral's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Integral to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Integral because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Integral after-hype prediction price | USD 10.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Integral contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Integral Ad Science will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Integral trading at USD 10.48, that is roughly USD 0.008253 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Integral's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Integral Ad Science options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Integral |
Integral After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Integral at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Integral or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Integral, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Integral Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Integral's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Integral's historical news coverage. Integral's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.78 and 12.18, respectively. We have considered Integral's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Integral is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Integral Ad Science is based on 3 months time horizon.
Integral Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Integral is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Integral backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Integral, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.48 | 10.48 | 0.00 |
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Integral Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2025 Integral Ad Science is traded for 10.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Integral is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Integral is about 2428.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.48. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Integral Ad Science had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Integral Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Integral Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Integral's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Integral's future price movements. Getting to know how Integral's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Integral may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OMC | Omnicom Group | (0.64) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.92 | (2.43) | 13.14 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | (1.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.41 | (3.55) | 14.94 | |
| CRTO | Criteo Sa | (0.38) | 6 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 3.92 | (3.08) | 20.62 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | (0.25) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.13 | (2.71) | 7.61 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.01 | (3.36) | 8.40 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.92 | 0.06 | 6.86 | (3.98) | 24.10 | |
| TZOO | Travelzoo | (0.09) | 10 per month | 3.30 | 0.10 | 6.69 | (5.27) | 24.32 | |
| IPG | Interpublic Group of | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.63 | (2.51) | 7.37 | |
| CMPR | Cimpress NV | 1.99 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.45 | (5.25) | 9.93 | |
| CTV | Innovid Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.09 | 1.33 | (4.81) | 88.33 |
Integral Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Integral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Integral Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Integral stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Integral Ad Science, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Integral based on analysis of Integral hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Integral's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Integral's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 97.84 | 93.22 | 107.21 | 113.62 | PTB Ratio | 1.68 | 2.47 | 2.84 | 4.97 |
Story Coverage note for Integral
The number of cover stories for Integral depends on current market conditions and Integral's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Integral is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Integral's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Integral Short Properties
Integral's future price predictability will typically decrease when Integral's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Integral Ad Science often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Integral's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integral's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124.8 M |
Additional Tools for Integral Stock Analysis
When running Integral's price analysis, check to measure Integral's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integral is operating at the current time. Most of Integral's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integral's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integral's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integral to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.