Hycroft Mining Holding Stock Price Prediction
HYMC Stock | USD 2.34 0.01 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.54) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.78) | Wall Street Target Price 13 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.49) |
Using Hycroft Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hycroft Mining Holding from the perspective of Hycroft Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hycroft Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hycroft because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hycroft Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 2.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hycroft |
Hycroft Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hycroft Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hycroft Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hycroft Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Hycroft Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hycroft Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hycroft Mining's historical news coverage. Hycroft Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.62, respectively. We have considered Hycroft Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hycroft Mining is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hycroft Mining Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hycroft Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hycroft Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hycroft Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hycroft Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 4.25 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.34 | 2.37 | 1.28 |
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Hycroft Mining Hype Timeline
Hycroft Mining Holding is currently traded for 2.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Hycroft is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Hycroft Mining is about 1778.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.42. Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (50.95 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Hycroft Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hycroft Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hycroft Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hycroft Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Hycroft Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hycroft Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | 1.25 | 11 per month | 1.83 | (0.02) | 3.08 | (3.02) | 11.66 | |
BTG | B2Gold Corp | (0.08) | 11 per month | 2.24 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (4.09) | 17.88 | |
PAAS | Pan American Silver | 0.50 | 10 per month | 2.16 | 0.01 | 6.05 | (3.94) | 14.73 | |
GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.06) | 10 per month | 2.48 | (0.01) | 4.52 | (3.77) | 14.93 | |
IAG | IAMGold | 0.15 | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.03 | 6.95 | (4.35) | 25.09 | |
NGD | New Gold | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.85 | 0.02 | 5.53 | (4.50) | 17.13 | |
EGO | Eldorado Gold Corp | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.39 | (5.22) | 12.12 | |
KGC | Kinross Gold | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.02 | 5.41 | (4.01) | 18.27 | |
HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.63 | (5.89) | 17.74 | |
CDE | Coeur Mining | 0.21 | 10 per month | 3.53 | 0.01 | 9.37 | (5.06) | 28.59 |
Hycroft Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hycroft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hycroft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hycroft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Hycroft Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hycroft Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hycroft Mining Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hycroft Mining based on analysis of Hycroft Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hycroft Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hycroft Mining's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 17.32 | 9.49 | 20.24 | 21.26 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 24.74 | 19.13 | 20.27 | 19.26 |
Story Coverage note for Hycroft Mining
The number of cover stories for Hycroft Mining depends on current market conditions and Hycroft Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hycroft Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hycroft Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Hycroft Mining Short Properties
Hycroft Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hycroft Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hycroft Mining Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hycroft Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hycroft Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Hycroft Stock analysis
When running Hycroft Mining's price analysis, check to measure Hycroft Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hycroft Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Hycroft Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hycroft Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hycroft Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hycroft Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity |