Hilton Food (UK) Price Prediction
| HFG Stock | 906.00 6.00 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5942 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.636 | Wall Street Target Price 1.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Hilton Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilton Food Group from the perspective of Hilton Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hilton Food to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hilton Food after-hype prediction price | GBX 904.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hilton |
Hilton Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hilton Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilton Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilton Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hilton Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hilton Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilton Food's historical news coverage. Hilton Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 902.93 and 996.60, respectively. We have considered Hilton Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hilton Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilton Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hilton Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hilton Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilton Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.36 | 1.71 | 0.32 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
906.00 | 904.29 | 0.19 |
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Hilton Food Hype Timeline
Hilton Food Group is currently traded for 906.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. Hilton is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 904.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 7.16%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Hilton Food is about 38.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 906.32. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hilton Food was currently reported as 3.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Hilton Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hilton Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hilton Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilton Food's future price movements. Getting to know how Hilton Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilton Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICG | Intermediate Capital Group | 22.00 | 3 per month | 2.06 | (0.07) | 2.56 | (3.48) | 11.69 | |
| GVMH | Grand Vision Media | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.41 | |
| 0XVE | BE Semiconductor Industries | 0.69 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.76 | (3.75) | 15.22 | |
| JD | JD Sports Fashion | 2.50 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.63 | (3.68) | 19.69 | |
| 0A76 | British American Tobacco | (0.10) | 1 per month | 1.08 | (0.07) | 1.56 | (2.34) | 5.10 | |
| EMAN | Everyman Media Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.75 | (3.45) | 9.56 | |
| OMIP | One Media iP | (0.16) | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.05) | 4.11 | (2.67) | 12.92 |
Hilton Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hilton Food Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hilton Food stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hilton Food Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Food based on analysis of Hilton Food hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hilton Food's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hilton Food's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Hilton Food
The number of cover stories for Hilton Food depends on current market conditions and Hilton Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilton Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilton Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hilton Food Short Properties
Hilton Food's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilton Food's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilton Food Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilton Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 130.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Hilton Stock analysis
When running Hilton Food's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Food's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Food is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Food's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Food's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Food's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Food to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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