Gulf Keystone Petroleum Stock Price Prediction
| GUKYF Stock | USD 1.85 0.02 1.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gulf Keystone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulf Keystone Petroleum from the perspective of Gulf Keystone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gulf Keystone to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gulf because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gulf Keystone after-hype prediction price | USD 1.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gulf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Keystone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gulf Keystone After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulf Keystone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulf Keystone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gulf Keystone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulf Keystone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulf Keystone's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulf Keystone's historical news coverage. Gulf Keystone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 6.25, respectively. We have considered Gulf Keystone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulf Keystone is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulf Keystone Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulf Keystone Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulf Keystone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Keystone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulf Keystone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 4.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.85 | 1.85 | 0.00 |
|
Gulf Keystone Hype Timeline
Gulf Keystone Petroleum is currently traded for 1.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gulf is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gulf Keystone is about 94285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.85. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gulf Keystone Petroleum last dividend was issued on the 16th of February 2023. The entity had 1:100 split on the 9th of December 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Gulf Keystone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gulf Keystone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulf Keystone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulf Keystone's future price movements. Getting to know how Gulf Keystone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulf Keystone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Gulf Keystone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gulf Keystone Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gulf Keystone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gulf Keystone Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gulf Keystone based on analysis of Gulf Keystone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gulf Keystone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gulf Keystone's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gulf Keystone
The number of cover stories for Gulf Keystone depends on current market conditions and Gulf Keystone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulf Keystone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulf Keystone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Gulf Keystone Short Properties
Gulf Keystone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulf Keystone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulf Keystone Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulf Keystone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Keystone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Gulf Pink Sheet analysis
When running Gulf Keystone's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Keystone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Keystone is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Keystone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Keystone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Keystone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Keystone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas |