Guangdong Investment (Germany) Price Prediction

GUG Stock  EUR 0.74  0.03  4.23%   
The value of RSI of Guangdong Investment's stock price is roughly 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 20th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guangdong, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangdong Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Guangdong Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Guangdong Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangdong Investment Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Guangdong Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Investment Limited from the perspective of Guangdong Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangdong Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangdong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guangdong Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guangdong Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.827.44
Details

Guangdong Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangdong Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangdong Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangdong Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangdong Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangdong Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangdong Investment's historical news coverage. Guangdong Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 7.33, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.74
0.71
After-hype Price
7.33
Upside
Guangdong Investment is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangdong Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangdong Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangdong Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangdong Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangdong Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.48 
6.62
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.74
0.71
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Guangdong Investment Hype Timeline

Guangdong Investment is currently traded for 0.74on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guangdong is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guangdong Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.74. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guangdong Investment last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Guangdong Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guangdong Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangdong Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangdong Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangdong Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangdong Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UUECUnited Utilities Group 0.00 0 per month 1.21  0.01  2.34 (2.37) 5.67 
CUBBChina Water Affairs 0.00 0 per month 2.44  0.14  5.77 (5.00) 47.67 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.36 (4.50) 20.22 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 13.64 (10.00) 52.42 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 1.45  0.04  2.94 (2.60) 15.24 
XYTACHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 0.00 0 per month 8.83  0.14  33.33 (25.00) 233.33 
9K1NORDIC HALIBUT AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.03 (4.66) 14.80 
3RKURYOHIN UNSPADR1 0.00 0 per month 1.28  0.19  3.31 (2.40) 9.54 
VUSAVanguard Funds Public 0.00 0 per month 0.50  0.19  1.19 (1.04) 6.02 

Guangdong Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guangdong Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guangdong Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangdong Investment Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangdong Investment based on analysis of Guangdong Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangdong Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangdong Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guangdong Investment

The number of cover stories for Guangdong Investment depends on current market conditions and Guangdong Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangdong Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangdong Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guangdong Investment Short Properties

Guangdong Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangdong Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangdong Investment Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangdong Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.5 B

Complementary Tools for Guangdong Stock analysis

When running Guangdong Investment's price analysis, check to measure Guangdong Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangdong Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Guangdong Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangdong Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangdong Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangdong Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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