Greenfirst Forest Products Stock Price Prediction
| GFP Stock | 5.38 0.08 1.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using GreenFirst Forest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GreenFirst Forest Products from the perspective of GreenFirst Forest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GreenFirst Forest to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GreenFirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GreenFirst Forest after-hype prediction price | CAD 5.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GreenFirst |
GreenFirst Forest After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GreenFirst Forest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GreenFirst Forest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GreenFirst Forest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GreenFirst Forest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GreenFirst Forest's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GreenFirst Forest's historical news coverage. GreenFirst Forest's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.20 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered GreenFirst Forest's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GreenFirst Forest is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GreenFirst Forest is based on 3 months time horizon.
GreenFirst Forest Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GreenFirst Forest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GreenFirst Forest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GreenFirst Forest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.12 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.38 | 5.32 | 1.12 |
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GreenFirst Forest Hype Timeline
GreenFirst Forest is currently traded for 5.38on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. GreenFirst is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.56%. The volatility of related hype on GreenFirst Forest is about 12114.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.37. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GreenFirst Forest recorded a loss per share of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of July 2018. The firm had 1026:1000 split on the 7th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out GreenFirst Forest Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GreenFirst Forest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GreenFirst Forest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GreenFirst Forest's future price movements. Getting to know how GreenFirst Forest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GreenFirst Forest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CFF | Conifex Timber | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.45 | (9.52) | 27.60 | |
| IFOS | Itafos Corp | (0.11) | 2 per month | 2.01 | 0.06 | 4.12 | (3.72) | 10.14 | |
| ICLTF | GreenFirst Forest Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.10 | (6.59) | 33.48 | |
| BLM | BluMetric Environmental | 0.02 | 2 per month | 3.11 | 0.11 | 9.52 | (5.81) | 20.55 |
GreenFirst Forest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GreenFirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GreenFirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze GreenFirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About GreenFirst Forest Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GreenFirst Forest stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GreenFirst Forest Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GreenFirst Forest based on analysis of GreenFirst Forest hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GreenFirst Forest's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GreenFirst Forest's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0235 | 0.0209 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.56 | 6.5 |
Story Coverage note for GreenFirst Forest
The number of cover stories for GreenFirst Forest depends on current market conditions and GreenFirst Forest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GreenFirst Forest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GreenFirst Forest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GreenFirst Forest Short Properties
GreenFirst Forest's future price predictability will typically decrease when GreenFirst Forest's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GreenFirst Forest Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GreenFirst Forest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GreenFirst Forest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in GreenFirst Stock
GreenFirst Forest financial ratios help investors to determine whether GreenFirst Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GreenFirst with respect to the benefits of owning GreenFirst Forest security.