First Ottawa Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

FOTB Stock  USD 120.01  0.01  0.01%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of First Ottawa's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

72

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Ottawa's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Ottawa Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Ottawa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Ottawa Bancshares from the perspective of First Ottawa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Ottawa to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Ottawa after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 120.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Ottawa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Ottawa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.52105.44132.01
Details

First Ottawa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Ottawa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Ottawa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Ottawa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Ottawa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Ottawa's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Ottawa's historical news coverage. First Ottawa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.09 and 120.93, respectively. We have considered First Ottawa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
120.01
119.09
Downside
120.01
After-hype Price
120.93
Upside
First Ottawa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Ottawa Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Ottawa Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Ottawa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Ottawa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Ottawa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
0.92
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
120.01
120.01
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Ottawa Hype Timeline

First Ottawa Bancshares is currently traded for 120.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Ottawa is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 120.01. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Ottawa Bancshares recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out First Ottawa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Ottawa Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Ottawa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Ottawa's future price movements. Getting to know how First Ottawa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Ottawa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
444859BR2HUMANA INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.93 (5.79) 16.62 
SCRYYSCOR PK 0.00 0 per month 2.02  0.07  5.61 (4.09) 12.99 
AQUIAquagold International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LBHIXThrivent High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.56) 0.24 (0.24) 0.96 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.12) 1.21 (1.02) 2.80 
IDSPACE 0.02 1 per month 4.02  0.14  7.89 (6.67) 20.54 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.12 (0.03) 2.28 (1.20) 7.18 
RRTLXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.26 (0.36) 0.48 (0.56) 1.36 
KNGFT Cboe Vest(0.02)2 per month 0.42 (0.15) 0.84 (0.77) 1.82 
OSHDFOshidori International Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  1,329 

First Ottawa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Ottawa Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Ottawa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Ottawa Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Ottawa based on analysis of First Ottawa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Ottawa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Ottawa's related companies.

Story Coverage note for First Ottawa

The number of cover stories for First Ottawa depends on current market conditions and First Ottawa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Ottawa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Ottawa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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First Ottawa Short Properties

First Ottawa's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Ottawa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Ottawa Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Ottawa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Ottawa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid1.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.5
Shares Float683.4 K

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