First Credit (Pakistan) Price Prediction
FCIBL Stock | 7.27 0.70 8.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Credit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Credit And from the perspective of First Credit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Credit to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Credit after-hype prediction price | PKR 7.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Credit After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Credit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Credit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Credit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
First Credit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Credit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Credit's historical news coverage. First Credit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.40 and 12.14, respectively. We have considered First Credit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Credit is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Credit And is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Credit Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Credit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Credit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Credit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 4.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.27 | 7.27 | 0.00 |
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First Credit Hype Timeline
First Credit And is currently traded for 7.27on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Credit is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.27. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out First Credit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Credit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Credit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Credit's future price movements. Getting to know how First Credit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Credit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MSOT | Masood Textile Mills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.86 | (0) | 9.27 | (7.18) | 19.24 | |
FFL | Fauji Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.21 | 7.58 | (2.97) | 13.31 | |
KSBP | KSB Pumps | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.05 | 6.44 | (4.04) | 16.16 | |
MARI | Mari Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.16 | 7.07 | (2.55) | 59.96 | |
LOADS | Loads | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.13 | 6.33 | (3.61) | 17.71 | |
THCCL | Thatta Cement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0.38 | 10.00 | (5.02) | 19.87 | |
KAPCO | KOT Addu Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.12 | 5.52 | (1.95) | 12.21 | |
REWM | Reliance Weaving Mills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.45 | 0.21 | 10.00 | (6.49) | 19.35 |
First Credit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About First Credit Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Credit stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Credit And, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Credit based on analysis of First Credit hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Credit's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Credit's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Credit
The number of cover stories for First Credit depends on current market conditions and First Credit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Credit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Credit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in First Stock
First Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Credit security.