Excellon Resources Stock Price Prediction
| EXN Stock | CAD 0.14 0.01 6.67% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.72) |
Using Excellon Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Excellon Resources from the perspective of Excellon Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Excellon Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Excellon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Excellon Resources after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Excellon |
Excellon Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Excellon Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Excellon Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Excellon Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Excellon Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Excellon Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Excellon Resources' historical news coverage. Excellon Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.72, respectively. We have considered Excellon Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Excellon Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Excellon Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Excellon Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Excellon Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Excellon Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Excellon Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 8.53 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.14 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
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Excellon Resources Hype Timeline
Excellon Resources is currently traded for 0.14on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Excellon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Excellon Resources is about 341200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Excellon Resources recorded a loss per share of 0.19. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2020. The firm had 1:5 split on the 10th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Excellon Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Excellon Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Excellon Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Excellon Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Excellon Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Excellon Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSV | Minco Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.74 | 0.08 | 10.53 | (9.52) | 38.82 | |
| USA | Americas Silver Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 3.27 | 0.20 | 5.63 | (5.45) | 16.60 | |
| IPT | IMPACT Silver Corp | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (5.26) | 23.57 | |
| DV | Dolly Varden Silver | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.94 | 0.05 | 5.05 | (5.21) | 13.58 |
Excellon Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Excellon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Excellon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Excellon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Excellon Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Excellon Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Excellon Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Excellon Resources based on analysis of Excellon Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Excellon Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Excellon Resources's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.75 | 0.11 | 0.1 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 24.17 | 27.79 | 35.0 |
Story Coverage note for Excellon Resources
The number of cover stories for Excellon Resources depends on current market conditions and Excellon Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Excellon Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Excellon Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Excellon Resources Short Properties
Excellon Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Excellon Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Excellon Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Excellon Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Excellon Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 744 K |
Other Information on Investing in Excellon Stock
Excellon Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Excellon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Excellon with respect to the benefits of owning Excellon Resources security.