Esso SAF (France) Price Prediction
| ES Stock | EUR 105.00 1.40 1.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Esso SAF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esso SAF from the perspective of Esso SAF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Esso SAF to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Esso because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Esso SAF after-hype prediction price | EUR 105.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Esso |
Esso SAF After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Esso SAF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esso SAF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Esso SAF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Esso SAF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Esso SAF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esso SAF's historical news coverage. Esso SAF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.71 and 107.29, respectively. We have considered Esso SAF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Esso SAF is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esso SAF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Esso SAF Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esso SAF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esso SAF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esso SAF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
105.00 | 105.00 | 0.00 |
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Esso SAF Hype Timeline
Esso SAF is currently traded for 105.00on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Esso is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Esso SAF is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.00. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Esso SAF recorded earning per share (EPS) of 112.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Esso SAF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Esso SAF Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Esso SAF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esso SAF's future price movements. Getting to know how Esso SAF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esso SAF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAU | Etablissements Maurel et | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0) | 3.84 | (3.11) | 8.73 | |
| ERA | Eramet SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.80 | (4.46) | 20.22 | |
| BB | Socit BIC SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.03) | 1.31 | (1.76) | 15.47 | |
| EC | TotalEnergies EP Gabon | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | 0.05 | 1.56 | (1.25) | 20.45 | |
| DBG | Derichebourg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | (0.03) | 3.55 | (3.92) | 12.41 |
Esso SAF Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Esso price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esso using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esso charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Esso SAF Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Esso SAF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Esso SAF, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Esso SAF based on analysis of Esso SAF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Esso SAF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Esso SAF's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Esso SAF
The number of cover stories for Esso SAF depends on current market conditions and Esso SAF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Esso SAF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Esso SAF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Esso SAF Short Properties
Esso SAF's future price predictability will typically decrease when Esso SAF's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Esso SAF often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Esso SAF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esso SAF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 411 M |
Complementary Tools for Esso Stock analysis
When running Esso SAF's price analysis, check to measure Esso SAF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esso SAF is operating at the current time. Most of Esso SAF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esso SAF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esso SAF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esso SAF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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