Desa Deri (Turkey) Price Prediction
| DESA Stock | TRY 20.84 0.12 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Desa Deri hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Desa Deri Sanayi from the perspective of Desa Deri response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Desa Deri to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Desa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Desa Deri after-hype prediction price | TRY 20.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Desa |
Desa Deri After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Desa Deri at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Desa Deri or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Desa Deri, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Desa Deri Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Desa Deri's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Desa Deri's historical news coverage. Desa Deri's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.85 and 23.83, respectively. We have considered Desa Deri's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Desa Deri is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Desa Deri Sanayi is based on 3 months time horizon.
Desa Deri Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Desa Deri is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Desa Deri backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Desa Deri, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.84 | 20.84 | 0.00 |
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Desa Deri Hype Timeline
Desa Deri Sanayi is currently traded for 20.84on Istanbul Stock Exchange of Turkey. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Desa is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Desa Deri is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.84. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 717.27. Desa Deri Sanayi last dividend was issued on the 28th of May 2013. The entity had 100:497 split on the 8th of June 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Desa Deri Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Desa Deri Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Desa Deri's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Desa Deri's future price movements. Getting to know how Desa Deri's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Desa Deri may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KCHOL | Koc Holding AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.03) | 4.09 | (3.22) | 8.99 | |
| EREGL | Eregli Demir ve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | (0.01) | 2.99 | (2.78) | 7.76 | |
| SISE | Turkiye Sise ve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.49 | (3.06) | 7.48 | |
| TCELL | Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (3.28) | 9.18 | |
| AEFES | Anadolu Efes Biracilik | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.40 | (4.37) | 14.66 | |
| ASELS | Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.09 | 4.55 | (3.11) | 9.31 |
Desa Deri Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Desa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Desa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Desa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Desa Deri Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Desa Deri stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Desa Deri Sanayi, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Desa Deri based on analysis of Desa Deri hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Desa Deri's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Desa Deri's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Desa Deri
The number of cover stories for Desa Deri depends on current market conditions and Desa Deri's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Desa Deri is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Desa Deri's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Desa Deri Short Properties
Desa Deri's future price predictability will typically decrease when Desa Deri's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Desa Deri Sanayi often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Desa Deri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Desa Deri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.2 M |
Additional Tools for Desa Stock Analysis
When running Desa Deri's price analysis, check to measure Desa Deri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Desa Deri is operating at the current time. Most of Desa Deri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Desa Deri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Desa Deri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Desa Deri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.