Defense Metals Corp Stock Price Prediction
| DEFN Stock | CAD 0.14 0.01 7.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.7 |
Using Defense Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defense Metals Corp from the perspective of Defense Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Defense Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Defense because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Defense Metals after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Defense |
Defense Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defense Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defense Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Defense Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defense Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defense Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defense Metals' historical news coverage. Defense Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered Defense Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defense Metals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defense Metals Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defense Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Defense Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defense Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defense Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.99 | 7.80 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.14 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
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Defense Metals Hype Timeline
Defense Metals Corp is currently traded for 0.14on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Defense is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.99%. %. The volatility of related hype on Defense Metals is about 52000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.13. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Defense Metals Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Defense Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Defense Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defense Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defense Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Defense Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defense Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMN | Monarca Minerals | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OCG | Outcrop Gold Corp | (0.01) | 4 per month | 4.31 | (0) | 9.52 | (8.70) | 29.76 | |
| GPG | Grande Portage Resources | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.09 | (11.54) | 37.43 | |
| KS | Klondike Silver Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 6.39 | 0.04 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 45.00 |
Defense Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defense price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defense using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defense charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Defense Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Defense Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Defense Metals Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Defense Metals based on analysis of Defense Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Defense Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Defense Metals's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PB Ratio | 1.13 | 1.37 | 1.3 | Capex To Depreciation | 12.63 | 14.52 | 13.8 |
Story Coverage note for Defense Metals
The number of cover stories for Defense Metals depends on current market conditions and Defense Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Defense Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Defense Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Defense Metals Short Properties
Defense Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Defense Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Defense Metals Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Defense Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Defense Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Additional Tools for Defense Stock Analysis
When running Defense Metals' price analysis, check to measure Defense Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Defense Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Defense Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Defense Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Defense Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Defense Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.