Caledonian Trust (UK) Price Prediction
| CNN Stock | 65.00 30.00 85.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Caledonian Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caledonian Trust PLC from the perspective of Caledonian Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caledonian Trust to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caledonian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Caledonian Trust after-hype prediction price | GBX 65.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caledonian |
Caledonian Trust After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caledonian Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caledonian Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caledonian Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caledonian Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caledonian Trust's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caledonian Trust's historical news coverage. Caledonian Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.00 and 65.00, respectively. We have considered Caledonian Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caledonian Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caledonian Trust PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caledonian Trust Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caledonian Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caledonian Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caledonian Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
65.00 | 65.00 | 0.00 |
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Caledonian Trust Hype Timeline
Caledonian Trust PLC is currently traded for 65.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Caledonian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caledonian Trust is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.00. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caledonian Trust PLC last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.Caledonian Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caledonian Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caledonian Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Caledonian Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caledonian Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WWH | Worldwide Healthcare Trust | 3.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.24 | (1.34) | 5.39 | |
| 0HC3 | Alaska Air Group | 0.42 | 5 per month | 0.81 | 0.24 | 3.93 | (1.92) | 7.98 | |
| 0HBH | Air Products Chemicals | 2.82 | 4 per month | 0.67 | 0.06 | 2.50 | (1.39) | 11.59 | |
| 0HTG | Cardinal Health | 1.79 | 3 per month | 1.14 | (0.02) | 2.17 | (2.04) | 10.25 | |
| 0HDK | Systemair AB | (0.40) | 2 per month | 1.20 | 0.05 | 3.01 | (2.24) | 14.12 | |
| 0QZ4 | Delta Air Lines | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.48 | 0.20 | 6.11 | (2.72) | 10.52 | |
| THRL | Target Healthcare REIT | 0.39 | 4 per month | 1.14 | (0.08) | 2.51 | (1.74) | 6.00 |
Caledonian Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caledonian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caledonian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caledonian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Caledonian Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Caledonian Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caledonian Trust PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caledonian Trust based on analysis of Caledonian Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caledonian Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caledonian Trust's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Caledonian Trust
The number of cover stories for Caledonian Trust depends on current market conditions and Caledonian Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caledonian Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caledonian Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Caledonian Trust Short Properties
Caledonian Trust's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caledonian Trust's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caledonian Trust PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caledonian Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caledonian Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Complementary Tools for Caledonian Stock analysis
When running Caledonian Trust's price analysis, check to measure Caledonian Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caledonian Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Caledonian Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caledonian Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caledonian Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caledonian Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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