Burnham Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BURCA Stock | USD 13.95 0.05 0.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Burnham Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burnham Holdings from the perspective of Burnham Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Burnham Holdings to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Burnham because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Burnham Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 13.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Burnham |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burnham Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burnham Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Burnham Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burnham Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Burnham Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burnham Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Burnham Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burnham Holdings' historical news coverage. Burnham Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.01 and 15.89, respectively. We have considered Burnham Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Burnham Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burnham Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Burnham Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burnham Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burnham Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burnham Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.94 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.95 | 13.95 | 0.00 |
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Burnham Holdings Hype Timeline
Burnham Holdings is currently traded for 13.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Burnham is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Burnham Holdings is about 314.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.93. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Burnham Holdings last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of June 2004. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Burnham Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Burnham Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burnham Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burnham Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Burnham Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burnham Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TVPKF | Travis Perkins Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TPRKY | Travis Perkins PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.81 | (4.55) | 8.88 | |
| AFIIQ | Armstrong Flooring | 0.00 | 0 per month | 27.09 | 0.21 | 400.00 | (77.78) | 590.00 | |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries | (1.71) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.08 | 1.97 | (1.54) | 8.34 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | (1.37) | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.03 | 2.78 | (3.10) | 28.75 |
Burnham Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burnham price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burnham using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burnham charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Burnham Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Burnham Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Burnham Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burnham Holdings based on analysis of Burnham Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Burnham Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Burnham Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Burnham Holdings
The number of cover stories for Burnham Holdings depends on current market conditions and Burnham Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burnham Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burnham Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Burnham Holdings Short Properties
Burnham Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Burnham Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burnham Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burnham Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burnham Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 4.1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.88 |
Complementary Tools for Burnham Pink Sheet analysis
When running Burnham Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Burnham Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burnham Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Burnham Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burnham Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burnham Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burnham Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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