Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy Etf Price Prediction
| BTF Etf | USD 12.06 0.75 5.85% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Valkyrie Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy from the perspective of Valkyrie Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Valkyrie Bitcoin using Valkyrie Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Valkyrie using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Valkyrie Bitcoin's stock price.
Valkyrie Bitcoin Implied Volatility | 1.02 |
Valkyrie Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Valkyrie Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Valkyrie Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Valkyrie Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Valkyrie Bitcoin to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Valkyrie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Valkyrie Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 12.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Valkyrie contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Valkyrie Bitcoin trading at USD 12.06, that is roughly USD 0.007688 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Valkyrie Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Valkyrie |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valkyrie Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Valkyrie Bitcoin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valkyrie Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valkyrie Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Valkyrie Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valkyrie Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valkyrie Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valkyrie Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Valkyrie Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.63 and 15.49, respectively. We have considered Valkyrie Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valkyrie Bitcoin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valkyrie Bitcoin Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Valkyrie Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valkyrie Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valkyrie Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 3.43 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.06 | 12.06 | 0.00 |
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Valkyrie Bitcoin Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy is traded for 12.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Valkyrie is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Valkyrie Bitcoin is about 6860.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.04. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy last dividend was issued on the December 22, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Valkyrie Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Valkyrie Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valkyrie Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valkyrie Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Valkyrie Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valkyrie Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XBTF | XBTF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BITO | ProShares Bitcoin Strategy | 0.34 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.43 | (5.38) | 12.64 | |
| BITQ | Bitwise Crypto Industry | (0.73) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.48 | (7.20) | 20.53 | |
| BITW | Bitwise 10 Crypto | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.67 | (5.27) | 18.37 | |
| BKCH | Global X Blockchain | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.26 | (7.91) | 25.38 |
Valkyrie Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valkyrie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valkyrie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valkyrie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Valkyrie Bitcoin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Valkyrie Bitcoin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valkyrie Bitcoin based on analysis of Valkyrie Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Valkyrie Bitcoin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Valkyrie Bitcoin's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Valkyrie Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for Valkyrie Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and Valkyrie Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valkyrie Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valkyrie Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Valkyrie Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valkyrie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valkyrie Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valkyrie Bitcoin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valkyrie Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valkyrie Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valkyrie Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valkyrie Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valkyrie Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.