Akamai Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| AKAM Stock | USD 78.05 0.40 0.52% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6553 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.2616 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7753 | Wall Street Target Price 107.0922 |
Using Akamai Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Akamai Technologies from the perspective of Akamai Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Akamai Technologies using Akamai Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Akamai using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Akamai Technologies' stock price.
Akamai Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Akamai Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Akamai Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Akamai Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 96.4924 | Short Percent 0.0778 | Short Ratio 6.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.5 M | 50 Day MA 96.549 |
Akamai Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Akamai Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Akamai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Akamai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Akamai Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Akamai Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Akamai Technologies.
Akamai Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Akamai Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Akamai Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Akamai Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Akamai Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Akamai Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Akamai Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Akamai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Akamai Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 77.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Akamai contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Akamai Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Akamai Technologies trading at USD 78.05, that is roughly USD 0.0268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Akamai Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Akamai Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Akamai |
Akamai Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Akamai Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Akamai Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Akamai Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Akamai Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Akamai Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Akamai Technologies' historical news coverage. Akamai Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.22 and 80.70, respectively. We have considered Akamai Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Akamai Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Akamai Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Akamai Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Akamai Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Akamai Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Akamai Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.21 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.05 | 77.46 | 0.24 |
|
Akamai Technologies Hype Timeline
Akamai Technologies is presently traded for 78.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Akamai is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Akamai Technologies is about 280.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.34. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Akamai Technologies was presently reported as 32.52. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. Akamai Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Akamai Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Akamai Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Akamai Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Akamai Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Akamai Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Akamai Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLT | FLT Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | 3.88 | 11 per month | 0.96 | 0.21 | 2.71 | (1.81) | 9.50 | |
| VRSN | VeriSign | 3.73 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.29 | 2.79 | (2.17) | 7.04 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 2.66 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.40 | (3.60) | 8.44 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | (0.86) | 11 per month | 1.10 | 0.18 | 1.75 | (1.77) | 14.36 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | (0.93) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.33 | (2.50) | 19.22 | |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software | 5.42 | 8 per month | 1.54 | 0.16 | 3.87 | (2.81) | 13.19 | |
| DOX | Amdocs | 1.00 | 11 per month | 0.79 | 0.09 | 1.65 | (1.47) | 4.37 | |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.92 | (3.26) | 12.88 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | (0.37) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.24 | (3.08) | 10.58 | |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce | (1.64) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.35 | (2.96) | 17.39 |
Akamai Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Akamai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Akamai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Akamai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Akamai Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Akamai Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Akamai Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Akamai Technologies based on analysis of Akamai Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Akamai Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Akamai Technologies's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PB Ratio | 3.08 | 4.52 | 4.29 | Capex To Depreciation | 0.77 | 1.06 | 0.82 |
Story Coverage note for Akamai Technologies
The number of cover stories for Akamai Technologies depends on current market conditions and Akamai Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Akamai Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Akamai Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Akamai Technologies Short Properties
Akamai Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Akamai Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Akamai Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Akamai Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akamai Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.3 M |
Check out Akamai Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Akamai Stock, please use our How to Invest in Akamai Technologies guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akamai Technologies. If investors know Akamai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akamai Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Earnings Share 3.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Akamai Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akamai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akamai Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akamai Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akamai Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akamai Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akamai Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akamai Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akamai Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.