Darfon Electronics (Taiwan) Price Prediction

8163 Stock  TWD 49.10  0.30  0.61%   
The value of RSI of Darfon Electronics' stock price is slightly above 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Darfon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Darfon Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Darfon Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Darfon Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Darfon Electronics Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Darfon Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Darfon Electronics Corp from the perspective of Darfon Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Darfon Electronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Darfon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Darfon Electronics after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 49.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Darfon Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.8848.9551.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.9950.0552.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.0548.9850.91
Details

Darfon Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Darfon Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Darfon Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Darfon Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Darfon Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Darfon Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Darfon Electronics' historical news coverage. Darfon Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.03 and 51.17, respectively. We have considered Darfon Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
49.10
49.10
After-hype Price
51.17
Upside
Darfon Electronics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Darfon Electronics Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Darfon Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Darfon Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Darfon Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Darfon Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
2.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.10
49.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Darfon Electronics Hype Timeline

Darfon Electronics Corp is presently traded for 49.10on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Darfon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Darfon Electronics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.10. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Darfon Electronics Corp last dividend was issued on the 7th of July 2022. The entity had 1050:1000 split on the 20th of July 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Darfon Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Darfon Electronics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Darfon Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Darfon Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Darfon Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Darfon Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Darfon Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Darfon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Darfon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Darfon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Darfon Electronics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Darfon Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Darfon Electronics Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Darfon Electronics based on analysis of Darfon Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Darfon Electronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Darfon Electronics's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Darfon Electronics

The number of cover stories for Darfon Electronics depends on current market conditions and Darfon Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Darfon Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Darfon Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Darfon Electronics Short Properties

Darfon Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Darfon Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Darfon Electronics Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Darfon Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darfon Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding280 M

Additional Tools for Darfon Stock Analysis

When running Darfon Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Darfon Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Darfon Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Darfon Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Darfon Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Darfon Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Darfon Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.