Nanya New (China) Price Prediction

688519 Stock   20.79  0.34  1.61%   
As of 17th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nanya New's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nanya New, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nanya New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nanya New Material, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nanya New's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Wall Street Target Price
30.38
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
Using Nanya New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nanya New Material from the perspective of Nanya New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nanya New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nanya because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nanya New after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 20.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nanya New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.6317.7821.93
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Nanya New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nanya New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nanya New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nanya New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nanya New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nanya New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nanya New's historical news coverage. Nanya New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.54 and 24.84, respectively. We have considered Nanya New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.79
20.69
After-hype Price
24.84
Upside
Nanya New is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nanya New Material is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nanya New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nanya New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nanya New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nanya New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
4.15
  0.10 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.79
20.69
0.48 
1,886  
Notes

Nanya New Hype Timeline

Nanya New Material is presently traded for 20.79on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Nanya is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Nanya New is about 17291.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.80. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Nanya New was presently reported as 10.93. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Nanya New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nanya New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nanya New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nanya New's future price movements. Getting to know how Nanya New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nanya New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)2 per month 1.05  0.10  2.83 (2.29) 8.14 
601288Agricultural Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.44  0.08  2.20 (2.19) 7.78 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.22  0.10  3.32 (2.12) 8.64 
601988Bank of China 0.03 3 per month 1.17  0.06  2.67 (2.33) 7.70 
601658Postal Savings Bank 0.02 1 per month 1.43  0.10  3.49 (2.35) 9.13 
601328Bank of Communications(0.03)2 per month 1.36  0.03  3.26 (2.27) 10.82 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.49 2 per month 1.97  0.09  5.83 (2.88) 19.77 
600036China Merchants Bank(0.24)2 per month 1.82  0.10  4.65 (2.62) 13.83 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.05 2 per month 1.63  0.05  3.84 (2.56) 12.07 
601998China Citic Bank(0.05)2 per month 1.87  0.08  3.02 (2.66) 13.33 

Nanya New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nanya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nanya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nanya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nanya New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nanya New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nanya New Material, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nanya New based on analysis of Nanya New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nanya New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nanya New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nanya New

The number of cover stories for Nanya New depends on current market conditions and Nanya New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nanya New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nanya New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nanya New Short Properties

Nanya New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nanya New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nanya New Material often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nanya New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanya New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding234.8 M

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When running Nanya New's price analysis, check to measure Nanya New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nanya New is operating at the current time. Most of Nanya New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nanya New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nanya New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nanya New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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