Sinomach Automobile (China) Price Prediction

600335 Stock   6.62  0.16  2.36%   
As of 4th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sinomach Automobile's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sinomach Automobile, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sinomach Automobile's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sinomach Automobile Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sinomach Automobile's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.129
Wall Street Target Price
21
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Using Sinomach Automobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sinomach Automobile Co from the perspective of Sinomach Automobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sinomach Automobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sinomach because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sinomach Automobile after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sinomach Automobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.655.428.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.756.529.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sinomach Automobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sinomach Automobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sinomach Automobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sinomach Automobile.

Sinomach Automobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sinomach Automobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sinomach Automobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sinomach Automobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sinomach Automobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sinomach Automobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sinomach Automobile's historical news coverage. Sinomach Automobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.01 and 9.55, respectively. We have considered Sinomach Automobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.62
6.78
After-hype Price
9.55
Upside
Sinomach Automobile is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sinomach Automobile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sinomach Automobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sinomach Automobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sinomach Automobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sinomach Automobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.40 
2.77
 0.00  
  0.16 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.62
6.78
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sinomach Automobile Hype Timeline

Sinomach Automobile is presently traded for 6.62on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.16. Sinomach is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sinomach Automobile is about 706.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.78. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Sinomach Automobile last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 15:10 split on the 20th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Sinomach Automobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sinomach Automobile Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sinomach Automobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sinomach Automobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Sinomach Automobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sinomach Automobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601668China State Construction 0.02 1 per month 2.60  0.01  5.25 (3.97) 15.78 
600048Poly Real Estate(0.03)2 per month 2.89  0.10  5.32 (3.33) 20.02 
000002China Vanke Co 0.10 1 per month 2.73  0.12  8.70 (3.84) 20.01 
001979China Merchants Shekou 0.09 1 per month 3.09  0.09  4.99 (4.33) 19.96 
600325Huafa Industrial Co(0.08)1 per month 2.64  0.09  6.36 (3.51) 20.03 
601995China International Capital(0.52)3 per month 2.78  0.10  8.00 (4.75) 20.01 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co 0.00 0 per month 1.84  0.01  6.55 (2.98) 16.71 
600153Xiamen CD 0.18 1 per month 2.12  0.15  6.39 (3.19) 19.45 
300750Contemporary Amperex Technology 4.16 1 per month 3.05  0.13  7.94 (3.41) 33.42 
600340China Fortune Land 0.00 1 per month 4.19  0.31  10.14 (9.70) 20.27 

Sinomach Automobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sinomach price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sinomach using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sinomach charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sinomach Automobile Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sinomach Automobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sinomach Automobile Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sinomach Automobile based on analysis of Sinomach Automobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sinomach Automobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sinomach Automobile's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sinomach Automobile

The number of cover stories for Sinomach Automobile depends on current market conditions and Sinomach Automobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sinomach Automobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sinomach Automobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sinomach Automobile Short Properties

Sinomach Automobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sinomach Automobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sinomach Automobile Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sinomach Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinomach Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

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When running Sinomach Automobile's price analysis, check to measure Sinomach Automobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sinomach Automobile is operating at the current time. Most of Sinomach Automobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sinomach Automobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sinomach Automobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sinomach Automobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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