Tenaga Nasional (Malaysia) Price Prediction

5347 Stock   13.66  0.32  2.29%   
At the present time, the value of RSI of Tenaga Nasional's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tenaga Nasional, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tenaga Nasional's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tenaga Nasional and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tenaga Nasional's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tenaga Nasional Bhd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tenaga Nasional hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tenaga Nasional Bhd from the perspective of Tenaga Nasional response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tenaga Nasional to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tenaga because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tenaga Nasional after-hype prediction price

    
  MYR 13.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Tenaga Nasional Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8011.8815.38
Details

Tenaga Nasional After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tenaga Nasional at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tenaga Nasional or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tenaga Nasional, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tenaga Nasional Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tenaga Nasional's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tenaga Nasional's historical news coverage. Tenaga Nasional's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.90 and 15.06, respectively. We have considered Tenaga Nasional's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.66
13.98
After-hype Price
15.06
Upside
Tenaga Nasional is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tenaga Nasional Bhd is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tenaga Nasional Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tenaga Nasional is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tenaga Nasional backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tenaga Nasional, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.10
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.66
13.98
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Tenaga Nasional Hype Timeline

Tenaga Nasional Bhd is presently traded for 13.66on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tenaga is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tenaga Nasional is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.66. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Tenaga Nasional Bhd had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:4 split on the 3rd of January 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Tenaga Nasional Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tenaga Nasional Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tenaga Nasional's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tenaga Nasional's future price movements. Getting to know how Tenaga Nasional's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tenaga Nasional may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Tenaga Nasional Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tenaga price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tenaga using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tenaga charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tenaga Nasional Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tenaga Nasional stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tenaga Nasional Bhd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tenaga Nasional based on analysis of Tenaga Nasional hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tenaga Nasional's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tenaga Nasional's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Tenaga Nasional

The number of cover stories for Tenaga Nasional depends on current market conditions and Tenaga Nasional's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tenaga Nasional is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tenaga Nasional's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Tenaga Nasional Short Properties

Tenaga Nasional's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tenaga Nasional's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tenaga Nasional Bhd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tenaga Nasional's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenaga Nasional's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.7 B

Other Information on Investing in Tenaga Stock

Tenaga Nasional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tenaga Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tenaga with respect to the benefits of owning Tenaga Nasional security.