Yili Chuanning (China) Price Prediction

301301 Stock   12.65  0.02  0.16%   
At the present time, the RSI of Yili Chuanning's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yili Chuanning, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Yili Chuanning's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yili Chuanning Biotechnology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Yili Chuanning's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.277
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.63
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.76
Wall Street Target Price
14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
Using Yili Chuanning hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yili Chuanning Biotechnology from the perspective of Yili Chuanning response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yili Chuanning to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yili because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Yili Chuanning after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Yili Chuanning Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3810.5912.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6912.9015.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.190.19
Details

Yili Chuanning After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Yili Chuanning at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yili Chuanning or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yili Chuanning, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Yili Chuanning Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Yili Chuanning's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yili Chuanning's historical news coverage. Yili Chuanning's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.47 and 14.89, respectively. We have considered Yili Chuanning's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.65
12.68
After-hype Price
14.89
Upside
Yili Chuanning is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yili Chuanning Biote is based on 3 months time horizon.

Yili Chuanning Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yili Chuanning is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yili Chuanning backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yili Chuanning, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.21
  0.03 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.65
12.68
0.24 
552.50  
Notes

Yili Chuanning Hype Timeline

Yili Chuanning Biote is presently traded for 12.65on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Yili is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Yili Chuanning is about 73666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.65. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Yili Chuanning Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yili Chuanning Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Yili Chuanning's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yili Chuanning's future price movements. Getting to know how Yili Chuanning's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yili Chuanning may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600028China Petroleum Chemical(0.04)3 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.22 (1.62) 5.09 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd 0.10 1 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.33 (2.54) 5.82 
601668China State Construction(0.03)2 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.46 (1.79) 4.52 
601390China Railway Group(0.03)2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.26 (1.69) 5.80 
601186China Railway Construction(0.05)2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.58 (1.59) 6.00 
600941China Mobile Limited(0.80)1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.84 (2.41) 6.39 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.39 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 1.58 (2.32) 7.48 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.05)1 per month 1.05  0.06  2.25 (1.68) 6.36 
601628China Life Insurance 0.59 3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.26 (2.71) 8.95 
601939China Construction Bank(0.11)3 per month 0.94  0.02  2.13 (1.87) 5.18 

Yili Chuanning Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Yili price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yili using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yili charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Yili Chuanning Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Yili Chuanning stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yili Chuanning Biotechnology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yili Chuanning based on analysis of Yili Chuanning hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yili Chuanning's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yili Chuanning's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Yili Chuanning

The number of cover stories for Yili Chuanning depends on current market conditions and Yili Chuanning's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yili Chuanning is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yili Chuanning's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for Yili Stock analysis

When running Yili Chuanning's price analysis, check to measure Yili Chuanning's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yili Chuanning is operating at the current time. Most of Yili Chuanning's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yili Chuanning's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yili Chuanning's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yili Chuanning to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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