Central Reinsurance (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 2851 Stock | TWD 25.95 0.15 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Central Reinsurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Reinsurance Corp from the perspective of Central Reinsurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Central Reinsurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Central because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Central Reinsurance after-hype prediction price | TWD 25.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Central |
Central Reinsurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Reinsurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Reinsurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Reinsurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Reinsurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Reinsurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Reinsurance's historical news coverage. Central Reinsurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.79 and 26.81, respectively. We have considered Central Reinsurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Reinsurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Reinsurance Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Reinsurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Reinsurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Reinsurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Reinsurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.95 | 25.80 | 0.00 |
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Central Reinsurance Hype Timeline
Central Reinsurance Corp is presently traded for 25.95on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Central is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Reinsurance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.95. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Central Reinsurance Corp last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2022. The entity had 1050:1000 split on the 25th of July 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Central Reinsurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Central Reinsurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Reinsurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Reinsurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Reinsurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Reinsurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2851 | Central Reinsurance Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.68 | (2.26) | 5.30 | |
| 2548 | Huaku Development Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.54 | (3.66) | 9.90 | |
| 5871 | Chailease Holding Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.48 | (3.37) | 17.57 | |
| 2891 | CTBC Financial Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | 0.05 | 2.11 | (1.30) | 6.14 |
Central Reinsurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Central Reinsurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Central Reinsurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Central Reinsurance Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Central Reinsurance based on analysis of Central Reinsurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Central Reinsurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Central Reinsurance's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Central Reinsurance
The number of cover stories for Central Reinsurance depends on current market conditions and Central Reinsurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Reinsurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Reinsurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Central Reinsurance Short Properties
Central Reinsurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Reinsurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Reinsurance Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Reinsurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Reinsurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 590.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 767.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.75 | |
| Shares Float | 282.2 M |
Additional Tools for Central Stock Analysis
When running Central Reinsurance's price analysis, check to measure Central Reinsurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Reinsurance is operating at the current time. Most of Central Reinsurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Reinsurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Reinsurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Reinsurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.